11-Aug: Prov Cash: Rs.crs:
FIIs: -736.81 (3488.91-4225.72)
DIIs: +130.74 (1510.87-1380.13)
Cash Vol: 21361 vs 19474, +10%
F&O Vol: 223320 vs 178162, +25%
FII F&O Stats as on 11 Aug'15(Rs in crs)
Total BUY : + 278
Index Future : - 858
Index Option : + 1257
Stock Future : - 91
Stock Option : - 31
Agri Commodities
· SELL NCDEX CHANA SEPT AT 4470 - 4475, SL - 4810, TARGET - 4410(CMP - 4470)
· SELL NCDEX COCUDAKL SEPT AT 1936 - 1940, SL - 1960, TARGET - 1910(CMP - 1936)
· SELL NCDEX RMSEED SEPT AT 4123 - 4128, SL - 4160, TARGET - 4070(CMP - 4123)
Morning Commodities Recommendations
International Commodities
· BUY MCX GOLD OCT AT 25105 - 25115, SL - 25033, TARGET - 25230 (CMP - 25113)
· BUY MCX NATURAL GAS AUG AT 181.20 - 181.70, SL - 178, TARGET - 185(CMP - 181.70)
· SELL MCX COPPER AUG AT 337.50 - 338.50, SL - 341.50, TARGET - 334 (CMP - 337.45)
Buy ITC at 317-315 Target 340, Stop Loss 304 (14-21 Sessions)
This stock has been a laggard since past few months. After a sharp fall from the all time high of `402.62 post the Union Budget; this stock consolidated within a range of `320 – `290 for quite some time. Last week, we observed a first sign of strength as the stock prices confirmed a ‘Higher Top Higher Bottom’ formation on the daily chart for the first time in past few months. This can also be termed as a breakout from the ‘Multiple Resistance Zone’ of `322 on a closing basis. Due to lack of follow up buying interest, the stock prices have given a pull back towards the breakout point. But, going forward, we expect this momentum continue over the next few trading sessions.
STOCK OPTION STRATEGY: BUY SBI AUG 300CE @ 5 & 275 PE @ 4.50. TOTAL PREMIUM 9-10. SL 4 TGT 30
Topay's Key Result
11th Aug
Tata Steel(Cog Cons Est Net -438cr -229% Yoy Res Time-After Mkt)
SBI(Cog Est Net 3507cr +5% Yoy Res Tim-During Mkt)
Sun Pharma(Cog Cons Est Net 1304cr -6% Yoy Res Time-After Mkt)
BOSCH(Cog Est Net 293cr -4% Yoy Res Time-During Mkt)
NMDC(Cog Est Net 1097cr -43% Yoy Res Time-After Mkt)
Adani Ent,Aksh Opti,Ansal Prop,Apollo Hosp,Apollo Tyre,Aries Agro,Asian Oil,Aurionpro Sol,Deccan Cem,Ginni Fila,Gofrej Inds,Gnfc,Harr Malay, Hathway Cab,Hind Cop, HPCL,IFCI,Jai Corp,Jbf Inds,Jubliant Life,Kabra Extru,Mafatlal Inds,Prem Explo,Rajapalaya Mill,Rel Power,Supra Eng,Suryajyoti Spin,Tata Inv,Vindhya Tele, Vst Till,West Coast Pap
Economic Times
Business Standard
Ø Govt may not link gold monetisation scheme with CRR
Ø Govt to announce new gas price formula: Oil Minister
Ø Government approves 17,000-crore highways upgradation projects
Ø Rlys arm to issue Rs 6,000 cr tax-free bonds
Ø Govt bonds over-subscribed; FIIs pump in Rs 974 cr
Ø Foxconn's decision to invest in India ruffles Chinese media
Ø ABD calls off buyout talks with Tilaknagar Industries
Ø Govt lists GST Bill for passage in Rajya Sabha today
Ø Centre set to seek Rs 426 cr in damages from Nestle
Ø Asset quality pressures to continue for a few more quarters
Ø RBI intervenes more through forwards in foreign exchange market
Ø Indonesia urges US Fed to hurry up and raise interest rates
Ø Back to the future: Nokia prepares for mobile comeback
Ø Govt caps kerosene subsidy at Rs 12/ltr, LPG at Rs 18/kg
Business Line
Mint
Ø Greece, creditors ‘close’ to deal on third bailout
Ø Poland woos Indian firms to set up manufacturing facilities
Ø Vedanta resumes mining operations in Goa after 3 years
Ø Persuading States for single tax structure on bio-fuels: Oil Min
Ø State Bank, Sun Pharma, Tata Steel results today
Ø Chambal Fertilisers’ net jumps 81% on higher sales
Ø Wockhardt’s profitability rises in Q1 but US FDA’s go-ahead remains critical
Ø Shapoorji Pallonji raises Rs.2,610 crore in largest infra refinancing deal
Ø Videocon to roll out 4G mobile services by year end
Ø Lanco lenders to acquire Teesta Hydro Power by converting debt to equity
Ø J&K Bank Q1 profit rises 22%
Financial Express
Financial Chronicle
Ø Sensex ends 135 points on GST worries, ONGC top loser
Ø Recovery in corporate earnings several quarters away
Ø Airtel reduces prices for new broadband customers by up to 30%
Ø Adani Ports Q1 net profit up 13 per cent at Rs 641 crores
Ø FPIs go slow on corp bonds, await gilt limit hike
Ø Gujarat's all 4 discoms get A+ rating for 2013-14
Ø Sadbhav Engineering bags Rs 1,557-cr projects from NHAI
Ø Japan marks biggest H1 gain in current account surplus since 2010
Ø New premium gas pricing policy for deepwater blocks soon
FII Activity & Nifty View
Yesterday, FII’s activity in cash market segment was subdued. While in Index Futures they were net buyers of worth Rs.613 crores with rise in open interest. This suggest FII’s did not participated in last half an hours fall in Nifty, in fact they formed fresh longs in Index Futures in last trading session.
In Index Options front they bought to the tune of Rs.633 crores with rise in open interest. In call options, 8700 strike added good amount build-up, which is long position formed by FIIs. On the other hand in put options, we hardly saw any fresh build-up. Some unwinding was seen in 8200 and 8400 put options. Maximum open interest is seen in 8800 call and 8200 put options.
Seeing the above data, we believe Nifty may remain strong, as FIIs continue to form longs. We suggest to trade with positive bias in Nifty till we see any relevant changes.
Indian Adr/Gdr
Infy:+0.91%, Wit:+0.64%
Ttm:+1.17%, Rdy:+0.70%
Hdb:+0.06%, Ibn:+0.30%
SBID: -0.11%, RIGD: -0.23%
Yoy
Market Update:
Sgx Nifty +28 pts
Dow +241.79 pts ,Nsdq +58.25 pts , S&P +26.71 pts ,Bovespa +775 pts, Ftse +17 pts , Dax +113 pts, Cac +40 pts, Nikkei +107 pts , now, Crude @ $44.77/brl (-0.19), Brent @ $50.09 (-0.32) , Gold @ $1104.60 (+0.50), Silver @ $15.25 (-0.04), Euro @ $1.1019, JPY @ $124.6200,
Economic Times
Business Standard
Ø Fin ministry to seek cabinet nod for monetary policy panel
Ø Govt working on new coal scheme to aid sick discoms
Ø Sebi seeks to step up scrutiny of managers: Sources
Ø China has spent $147 bn to prop up stocks: Goldman
Ø Govt approves proposal to divest NTPC, NHPC stake
Ø Govt to set up special notified zone for diamond trade
Ø Crisil downgrades Vedanta by one notch to 'AA'
Ø Commerce Ministry allows bulk export of rice bran oil
Ø Private players cry foul over 'unfair' project allotment to BHEL
Ø EPFO makes stock market debut through SBI MF
Ø Reserving mines for OMC to hurt mineral development: Experts
Ø Airtel launches 4G services nationally ahead of Jio
Ø ADAG, Maharashtra govt set for a showdown over Mumbai Metro
Ø Odisha govt to engage SBI Caps, MSTC for mine auctions
Ø Srei Infra plans to scale up acquisition of stressed infra projects
Business Line
Mint
Ø NSE lists SBI MF’s Nifty ETF for trade
Ø Mozambique eager to build cooperation in agriculture, infrastructure
Ø Lok Sabha passes Negotiable Instruments (amendment) Bill
Ø RBS raises $3.1 billion through issue of contingent convertible bonds
Ø Another blow for Adani in Australia as bank ends adviser role
Ø Motherson Sumi net profit jumps 62%
Ø Aviva Investors opposes Vedanta takeover bid for Cairn India
Ø Oil trades close to multi-month lows, Brent below $50
Ø US Fed rate hike in sight, but bond markets are quiet
Ø Dr. Reddy’s plans more R&D alliances with foreign firms
Ø Jharkhand govt stalls Tata Steel’s iron ore disptaches from Noamundi mine
Ø Practo raises $90 million from China’s Tencent, others
Financial Express
Financial Chronicle
Ø Nomura pegs GDP growth at 8% in FY16; Sensex at 33,500 by December
Ø India defers FTA talks after EU bans 700 pharma products of GVK Bio
Ø FIIs trim stake in 41 Nifty stocks
Ø Jet Airways chairman pitches for reducing aviation fuel prices
Ø SRF Records 22% Jump in Consolidated PAT at Rs.113 Crore
Ø Rolta bags $15 mn smartcity project in Middle East
Ø Govt mulls surplus sugar export via barter trade
Ø Aviva to hike stake to 49 pc in Indian insurance JV
Ø Govt capital infusion in PSBs credit positive: Moody's
Ø IRDAI to announce bancassurance norms in three weeks
Ø Bajaj Electricals net rises over three-fold at Rs 20.34 crore
Ø Tata Global Beverages reports lower profit
Market Update:
Sgx Nifty -35 pts
Dow -120.72 pts ,Nsdq -83.50 pts , S&P -16.23 pts ,Bovespa -275 pts, Ftse -5 pts , Dax -51 pts, Cac -4 pts, Nikkei -35 pts , now, Crude @ $47.79/brl (+0.13), Brent @ $49.63 (+0.11) , Gold @ $1088.60 (-1.50), Silver @ $14.61 (-0.07), Euro @ $1.0930, JPY @ $124.7100, INR @ $63.7650
Topay's Key Result
7th Aug
Bhel(Cog Est Net 194cr -78% Qoq Res Time-During Mkt)
Grasim(Cog Cons Est Net 488cr -4% Qoq Res Time-After Mkt)
M&M(Cog Est Net 745cr -16% Yoy Res Time-During Mkt)
Tata Motors(Cog Cons Est Net 3650cr -32% Yoy Res Time-After Mkt)
Allsec Tech,Amforge Inds, Apar Inds,Aptech,Corp Bank, Cox&King,Dalmia Sug,D-link,Eih Asso,Finolex Inds, Future Retail,Gateway Dist, Gspl,Gulf Oil,Jindal Stainless,MT Educare, Nagar Agri,Neyvile Lig, Ramkrishna Forge, Ratnamani Metal,Repco Home,Rubfila Int,REC, Shilpa Medi,Sunil Hitech, Take Sol,Ttk Health,Uttam Value Steel, Xchanging Sol,Zee Media
Indian Adr/Gdr
Infy:+2.66%, Wit:+3.43%
Ttm:+1.25%, Rdy:+2.54%
Hdb:+0.19%, Ibn: -0.29%
SBID: 0.00%, RIGD:-0.40%
Topay's Key Result
6th Aug
Aarti Inds,Arvind,Bajaj Elect,Banco,,Bombay Dying,Claris Life,Control Print, Cummins Ind,Deepak Spin, Escorts,Fortis Health, Gareware Poly,Jp Power,Mang Chem, Motherson Sumi, Omaxe, Ofss,Pbm Poly, Piramal Ent,Praj Inds, Srf Ltd, Sundaram Brake, Talwarkar's,Tata Global,Trent, Tulip Star
Market Update:
Sgx Nifty +5 pts
Dow -10.22 pts ,Nsdq +34.40 pts , S&P +6.52 pts ,Bovespa +228 pts, Ftse +65 pts , Dax +180 pts, Cac +84 pts, Nikkei +164 pts , now, Crude @ $45.22/brl (+0.07), Brent @ $49.74 (+0.15) , Gold @ $1083.90 (-1.70), Silver @ $14.56 (+0.01), Euro @ $1.0915, JPY @ $124.8200, INR @ $63.7550
5-Aug: Prov Cash: Rs.crs:
FIIs: +447.90 (4586.69-4138.79)
DIIs: -189.11 (1364.60-1553.71)
Cash Vol: 24906 vs 26482, -6%
F&O Vol: 157957 vs 244754, -35%
Buy Voltas at 322-320 Target 348 Stop Loss 308 (14-21 Sessions)
We have seen a stupendous rally in this stock from the September 2013 low of `61.51. Last month, this stock posted a new all time high of `357.36 and since then has been undergoing a medium term consolidation phase. Recently, the stock has given a decent bounce after taking a strong support around its daily ’89-EMA’ level of `305; which we expect to act as a sheet anchor in the near term. This support zone coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent up move from `256.43 to `357.36. Considering the positive placement of the momentum oscillators along with the continuation of a higher degree up trend, we expect this stock to give a decent up move in the near term.
FII Activity & View
Yesterday, FII's were net buyer in cash market, where they bought equity of worth Rs. 119 crores. Whereas, they sold index futures worth Rs 231 crores with marginal rise in open interest, suggesting combination of both short positions and long unwinding.
In Index options front, FIIs were net buyer of Rs. 605 crores with rise in open interest. We saw decent amount of buildup in 8600 to 8800 call options. Whereas, in put options, 8100 to 8300 strikes added considerable amount of open interest. We have also witnessed decent built up in 8500 Put option. Maximum buildup in current series in seen in 8800 call and 8200 put options.
Economic Times
Business Standard
Ø Rajan warns of action against banks hiding NPA nos
Ø Oil price unlikely to recover as Saudi refining hits market
Ø FSSAI-approved lab finds Maggi noodles safe
Ø Adani to announce JV worth $5 bn with Foxconn
Ø No decision yet on Cairn-Vedanta deal: UIICL
Ø I-T Dept searches 20 premises of Claris Lifesciences
Ø RBI leaves repo rate unchanged at 7.25%
Ø RBI, govt in talks on medium term framework for FPI limit in debt
Ø Klesch Group drops plans to buy out Tata Steel unit
Ø Coal imports drop by 11% to 19 MT tn in July
Ø UK takes 1 billion pounds hit in RBS sell-off
Ø AIG profit beats estimates, boosts buyback by $5 billion
Business Line
Mint
Ø RBI Governor bats for shifting veto power to monetary policy committee
Ø Bharti Airtel Q1 net up at Rs 1,554 cr
Ø US restores duty benefits to Indian exporters
Ø No plan to hike duty on petroleum products: Pradhan
Ø Over 3,500 tonnes plastic waste generated daily
Ø FinMin moves Cabinet note on gold monetisation scheme
Ø Govt may raise Rs40,000 crore via bonds from LIC
Ø Thomson re-entering India market after 11 years
Ø Sunteck Realty keen to buy distressed assets from rivals
Ø Jay Shree Tea to sell sugar and fertilizer businesses
Ø Sony to start manufacturing Bravia TVs in Tamil Nadu
Ø Birla in talks with PE firms to sell insulator unit
Financial Express
Financial Chronicle
Ø Monsoon, US Federal Reserve impact next trigger for rate cuts: Moody's
Ø Govt mulls selling 3 per cent stake in GAIL to raise Rs 1,800 crore
Ø Reliance MediaWorks concludes multiplex sale, debt cut by Rs 700 crore
Ø Steel shares jump on likely import duty hike
Ø Vedanta Resources bets on India for future growth
Ø Rajan links more easing to lower bank rates, monsoon, inflation
Ø RBI may cut interest rates before next policy: Rajan
Ø CCI charges SMTB with violating competition norms
Ø SC defers hearing, FIIs wait gets longer on MAT clarity
Ø China footwear biz shrinks, India gets a foot in the door
Ø Arcelor Mittal expects India to be active on M&A in steel, mine
Market Update:
Sgx Nifty +3 pts
Dow -47.51 pts ,Nsdq -9.84 pts , S&P -4.72 pts ,Bovespa -79 pts, Ftse -2 pts , Dax +12 pts, Cac -8 pts, Nikkei -2 pts , now, Crude @ $45.89/brl (+0.15), Brent @ $50.12 (+0.13) , Gold @ $1086.00 (-4.70), Silver @ $14.53 (-0.03), Euro @ $1.0874, JPY @ $124.3200, INR @ $63.7525
Topay's Key Result
5th Aug
Accelya Kale,Asahi India, Auto Axles,Bata India, Bengal&Assam,Bombay Burmah,Brigade Ent,Camlin Fine,Can Bank,Deepak Fert,Fdc,Glaxo Smith Cons,IGL,Jb Chem,Marico, Mercator,Mah Seam,Manali Petro,Nahar Spin,Ndtv, Parshvanath Dev,Prism Cem,Ptc Ind,Shree Cem,Siemens,Snowman Log,Sonata Soft,Stampede Cap,Tata Chem,Tree House,Uflex,Vardhman Tex
On weekly charts, the prices are trading near the lower end of a long term trendline support. In last one year, prices have formed a complex corrective pattern and the wave counts indicate end of a corrective leg near the recent lows. Prices in last few days have been consolidating in a narrow range and breakout from the consolidation zone could lead to sharp pullback. Looking at above evidences, we believe the stock could move higher and retrace the recent corrective leg.
FII Activity & Nifty View :
Yesterday, FII's were net buyers in cash market of worth Rs. 350 crores. Whereas, in Index Futures, their activity was quite, they sold of Rs 188 crores with fall in open interest, suggesting long unwinding in last trading session.
In Index options front, FIIs were net buyer of Rs. 588 crores with rise in open interest. PCR-OI increased with rise in IV’s which indicates buying in
put options. We saw decent amount of buildup in deep out the money call options of 9000 strike. Whereas, in put options, 8200 and 8500 strikes added some open interest. Maximum buildup in current series in seen in 9000 call and 8200 put
options.
Seeing the overall data, we believe Nifty may strengthen from current levels, as too many long are in system. We are hardly seeing selling in Index Futures, in fact FII’s had formed reasonable fresh longs last week. We suggest to trade with positive
bias in market.
Market Update:
Sgx Nifty -6 pts
Dow -91.66 pts ,Nsdq -12.90 pts , S&P -5.80 pts ,Bovespa -726 pts, Ftse -7 pts , Dax +134 pts, Cac +37 pts, Nikkei -51 pts , now, Crude @ $45.47/brl (+0.30), Brent @ $49.87 (+0.35) , Gold @ $1083.00 (-6.40), Silver @ $14.44 (-0.07), Euro @ $1.0935, JPY @ $124.0700, INR @ $64.0437
Indian Adr/Gdr
Infy:+0.30%, Wit: -0.73%
Ttm:+0.07%, Rdy:+1.32%
Hdb:+0.80%, Ibn:+3.08%
SBID:+7.84%, RIGD:+0.05%
Topay's Key Result
4th Aug
Bharti Artl(Cog Cons Est Net 1401cr +26% Yoy Res Time-After Mkt)
Astra Zen,Britania,Capital First,Dion Global,Eid Parry,EIH ltd,Future Life, Godrej Prop,Grindwell Nort,Hexaware, Hinduja Ven,Jayshree Tea,Jk Tyre,Kesar Ent,MM Forg,M ultibase,Noida Toll, Peninsula Land,Sundaram Clay,Tamil Petro,Torrent Pow,Tv Today
Today's Data Alert
4th Aug
Rbi Monetary Policy
Exp Interest Rate - Unchanged
srcs Cogencis
Buy Reliance Industries at 1009 - 1003 Target 1080 Stop Loss 970 (14 - 21 Sessions)
Justification:
On June 18, 2015, the stock has given breakout from the ‘Inverse Head & Shoulder’ pattern in the daily chart with noticeable volumes. Then after, the stock rallied sharply to make a new 52 week high of `1067.85. From last few trading sessions, we are witnessing corrective price action in the stock, which is now taking support around the 38.20% retracement level of the upmove from `873.65 to `1067.85. Today, we are observing bullish move in the stock after the formation of couple of ‘Doji’ candles around the support zone. Since the momentum oscillator is placed positively, we are expecting the counter to cross recent highs.
Ø 'Sebi will not change rules on P-notes in a hurry'
Ø Birla Group bets big on disruptive ideas, lines up $10 million investment corpus
Ø LIC nets 15% gains from equity play at Rs 24,373 cr in FY15
Ø UTI MF crosses Rs 1-trillion mark; eyes leadership slots
Ø USFDA import alert on some Himalaya Drug Co prods
Ø India's CAD likely to widen in June quarter: DBS
Ø Top 10 FPIs' stake in Indian equities at Rs 1.8 lakh crore
Ø Competition Commission set for sweeping powers under IFC
Ø Govt announces highway projects worth $93 bn to woo investors
Ø Govt may import 210 mn tonnes of coal in 2015-16
Ø Power sector players bet on acquisition of stressed assets
Ø Nokia set to roll out MTNL network expansion plan
Business Line
Mint
Ø EPFO to start investing in equity markets through ETFs on August 6
Ø Henkel brands giving Jyothy Labs a leg up
Ø ITC chief hits out at anti-tobacco lobby, says taxes hurting
Ø Emirates looks to buy 70 wide-body planes to replace aging aircraft
Ø CBDT notifies ITR forms for companies, firms
Ø RBI may opt for status quo on policy rate
Ø Maruti Suzuki sales jump 22% in July
Ø Short term reprieve for public sector banks
Ø Hero MotoCorp sales fall 7.97% in July
Ø Hong Kong fines SBI for anti money-laundering lapses
Ø Parliament panel pitches for regulations for mobile towers
Financial Express
Financial Chronicle
Ø Eyes on banks as Greek stock exchange to reopen
Ø Drop spectrum caps in new sharing guidelines: Airtel
Ø Bharti Airtel to add 1,000 company owned stores by December
Ø Not enamoured by size of corporates committing crimes: Sebi's U K Sinha
Ø Tata Coffee eyes premium specialty coffee player tag
Ø GST a Cong Bill, party's negativism hurting economy: Jaitley
Ø FIs keen on India, need policy stability: Rothschild
Ø Bring brand ambassadors under consumer law: CAIT
Ø Insurers now offer covers for Ayush treatments too
Ø GREX offers trading platform for unlisted firms, startups
Ø Magma Fincorp reports 2% rise in Q1 profit
Sgx Nifty +13 pts
Dow -56.12 pts ,Nsdq +0.50 pts , S&P -4.79 pts ,Bovespa +967 pts, Ftse +27 pts , Dax +51 pts, Cac +36 pts, Nikkei -70 pts , now, Crude @ $46.83/brl (-0.29), Brent @ $51.81 (-0.40) , Gold @ $1092.50 (-2.60), Silver @ $14.10 (-0.05), Euro @ $1.0976, JPY @ $124.0800, INR @ $64.1362
Indian Adr/Gdr
Infy: -0.24%, Wit:+0.82%
Ttm:+0.75%, Rdy:+3.79%
Hdb:+1.17%, Ibn:+4.90%
SBID:
Topay's Key Result
3rd Aug
Hcl Tech(Cog Cons Est Net 1819cr -1% Yoy)
Hero Mot(Cog Est Net 682cr +11% Yoy)
3m India,Aban Off,Adlab, Atul Auto,Berger Paint,Bgr Energy, Bharat Forge, Ibrealest,Indo Count,Lkp Fin,Mcleod Rus,Mro-Tek, Nitco,Styro Abs, Talbros, Tnpl,Vesuvius,V-Guard, Williamsom Mag
