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Tuesday, June 6, 2023

IKIO LIGHTING LIMITED IPO

*IKIO LIGHTING LIMITED IPO*

*Open : 06-JUNE-2023*
*Open : 08-JUNE-2023*

*QIB : 50%*
*NII : 15%*
*Retail : 35%*

*Price : ₹270 - ₹285*
*Market Lot : 52 Shares*

*Retail*
*Shares : 52*
*App Amt : ₹14,820*
*Retail Form : 143235*

*Small HNI (2-10 Lakh)*
*Shares : 728*
*App Amt : ₹207,480*
*Forms : 1462*

*Big HNI (10+ Lakh)*
*Shares : 3536*
*App Amt : ₹10,07,760*
*Forms : 2923*

*Basis of Allotment *JUNE 13, 2023*
*Initiation of Refunds JUNE 14, 2023*
*Credit of Shares to Demat JUNE 15, 2023*
*IPO Listing Date JUNE 16, 2023*

*MUST APPLY☝🏻*

BIG BREAKING NEWS

BIG BREAKING NEWS

CHINA ANNOUNCES STIMULUS PACKAGE FOR ECONOMY 

CHINA ASKS BIGGEST BANKS TO CUT DEPOSIT RATES TO BOOST THE ECONOMY.

NSE, BSE Key Circuit Filter Revisions

NSE, BSE Key Circuit Filter Revisions

- From 5% to 20%
Adani Power 
Kamdhenu 
RVNL

- From 5% to 10%
Adani Transmission

BTST : BUY

BTST : BUY TVS MOTOR , CUMMINS , HAL , ULTRATECH, MARUTI, M&M, TATA MOTOR, AXIS BANK , SYNGENE

BUY BANK NIFTY 44000 CE

BUY BANK NIFTY 44000 CE @ 225-230, SL 200, TGT 260-280-300 ++

From Advisory Desk 6th June 2023

From Advisory Desk 6th June 2023
 
Market Outlook: US stocks ended slightly lower as the data from S&P and ISM on services activity was a bit weaker than expected. Following the news, Bond yields reacted and reversed the earlier gains. Asian markets have started with a mixed performance, while the SGX Nifty indicates a flat opening. On the domestic front, our markets started the week on a positive note yesterday, closing higher by 0.35%. After the recent consolidation breakout, the Nifty is moving within a range of 18450-18670 levels from the past few sessions. However, the positive trend remains intact and expect stock specific action to continue. The RBI MPC meeting is set to begin today, with the outcome announcement scheduled for 8th June.
 
Actionable: Buy M&M, L&T.
 
Global market:

DOW:  - 199
SGX NIFTY:   - 10   (prev. close 18725)
NIFTY 50 : 18593
Sensex : 62787
 
Institution:
FII:                -   701     Cr
DII:               +  1196   Cr

NSE:
Advances:  2128  / Declines:  1543

Currency:
Dollar: $ 82.67
Dollar Index: 103.99
 
Commodity:
Gold: $ 1975  per ounce
Crude: $ 76.15  per barrel
 
Bonds:
10 year US bond rate: 3.69
10 year Indian Bond rate: 7.00

Derivative:
PCR: 0.95
VIX:  11.13

Updates:

SBI Cards: SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd on Monday announced that its board of directors has approved the raising of funds by way of issuance of Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) to ₹3,000 crore in one or more tranches, on a private placement basis.
 
Adani Group | The group on Monday said it has repaid loans totalling $2.65 billion that were taken by pledging shares in the conglomerate's listed firms and another $700 million in loans taken for the acquisition of Ambuja Cement.

Godrej Consumer Product - Company announced the appointment of Aasif Malbari as its Chief Financial Officer, with effect from August 10, 2023. Aasif Malbari is currently the CFO of Tata Passenger Electric Mobility and Director of Tata Motors Passenger.
 
Sugar Sector - Sugar prices tumbled to 6-week lows yesterday. The arrival of monsoon rains in India and ramped-up sugar production in Brazil are weighing on sugar prices.

Securities in ban: IBULHSGFIN, INDIACEM, MANAPPURAM FINANCE.
 
Derivative View: On option front, weekly maximum Call OI is at 18600 then 18700 strike while Maximum Put OI is at 18500 then 18600 strike. Option data suggests an immediate trading range in between 18400 to 18700 zones.

Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up

*Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up*

◆ Nifty index opened gap up by around 80 points but moved in a consolidative manner throughout the day. It respected support of 18580 zones but failed to move above 18640 zones and remained in a narrow range of 50 points. It formed a small bodied candle on daily scale and negated its lower highs formation of the last three sessions to close with gains of around 60 points

◆ Now it has to hold support of 18580 zones to witness an up move towards 18750 and 18888 zones while on the downside support exists at 18480 and 18442 zones

◆ India VIX was up by 0.16% from 11.12 to 11.13 levels. Volatility is marginally up but has been overall cooling off and thus in turn creating swings within a smaller range in the indices

◆ On option front, weekly maximum Call OI is at 18600 then 18700 strike while maximum Put OI is at 18500 then 18600 strike. Call writing is seen at 18700 then 18650 strike while Put writing is seen at 18500 then 18400 strike. Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 18300 to 18800 zones while an immediate trading range in between 18400 to 18700 zones

◆ Bank Nifty opened on a positive note near 44100 zones but remained consolidative in a narrow range of 100 points between 44150 to 44250 zones for most part of the trading session. It formed a Doji candle on daily scale as some profit booking was seen from higher zones in the last hour of the session and it closed at it opening zones. However it negated the formation of lower highs after four sessions to close with gains of around 160 points. It is holding well above its 20DEMA on daily scale and buy on dips stance likely to continue

◆ Now it has to continue to hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44250 then 44500 zones while on the downside support exists at 43750 and 43500 zones

◆ Bullish setup in HAL, M&M, BHEL, ICICI Pru, Axis Bank, BEL, Tatamotors, Grasim, Tatapower, LT, Deepakntr, Reliance, Maruti, Tatasteel, Indusind Bank, Cumminsind, SRF, Indigo and Glenmark

◆ Bearish setup in AU Bank, Manappuram, VEDL, MFSL, BPCL, MGL, TCS and Kotak Bank

BUY HBL POWER

BUY HBL POWER @ 125-27, SL 120, TGT 134, 140, 145+

BUY FIN NIFTY

BUY FIN NIFTY 19500 PUT @ 60-65, SSSL 40 TGT 74, 88, 105, 136, 182+

Securities in Ban For Trade Date 06-JUN-2023

*Securities in Ban For Trade Date 06-JUN-2023:*  
1 IBULHSGFIN
2 INDIACEM
3 MANAPPURAM

Market Indication

Market Indication:
Global: FLAT to NEGATIVE

NIFTY: FLAT to NEGATIVE

BANKNIFTY: FLAT to NEGATIVE

BULK Deals:Ceinsys Tech, MTAR Technologies etc.

Stocks In F&O Ban Period: Indiabulls Housing Finance, India Cements, and Manappuram Finance

Results Today: Nil

SGX NIFTY: (Negative)

18704 -21.00 -0.11%

News and Impact

News and Impact 
·       Expects market to open on a flat note on account of global cues. US market declined upto half percent and Asian market open on a mixed bag after US announced lower than expected Service PMI data. US Treasuries drifted after a report the US services sector nearly stagnated in May (Service PMI 54.9 while expectation 55.1). The Institute for Supply Management’s overall gauge of services unexpectedly fell to the lowest level of the year, offering a less upbeat assessment of the US economy. However, risks still loom with market increasingly speculating the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in June, but keep its options open for hikes later on. US Banking stocks declined after the Treasury debt issuance, proposed new capital requirements. SGX Nifty is trading flat to negative. Expects rangebound market today on ahead of RBI credit policy to be announce on Thursday. Two days MPC (monetary policy committee) meeting will commence from today while expectation of RBI may keep unchanged interest rate. Yesterday, market gained marginally but momentum continued on mid-cap and small cap stocks. Nifty 500 stocks advance decline ratio was favorable yesterday at 1.4:1. Undertone bullish sentiment in the market on account of better than expected domestic GDP and PMI data during the month of May. May Service PMI data announced while it has eased slightly, but registered the second-strongest rate of growth in close to 13 years, on favourable demand conditions and new client wins. Expects rally on defence stocks to continue after the US Defense Secretary said that the country is increasingly interested in sharing defense technology with its south Asian partner. Banking, Auto and Real Estate stocks will be in focus ahead of RBI policy outcome this week.
 
·       US Market   – US Market declined marginally after a report the US services sector nearly stagnated in May. The Institute for Supply Management’s overall gauge of services unexpectedly fell to the lowest level of the year, offering a less upbeat assessment of the US economy. Dow Jones slipped half percent while Nasdaq Composite ended marginally lower.
 
·       Global market summary – Brent crude nearly 2-week high. US Dollar Index surged to above 104.
 
·       Asian Market – Asian equities open on a mixed bag after the US stocks pulled back short of entering a bull market. Shares declined nearly half percent in South Korea, Taiwan and Australia while Japan market posted modest gain. Speculation that the Fed may plan to keep rates steady in June but keep options open for later hikes ramped up after the Institute for Supply Management’s overall gauge of services unexpectedly fell to the lowest level of the year, offering a less upbeat assessment of the US economy
 
·       European Market – European stocks fell on Monday, trimming Friday’s rally, after weaker-than-expected data from the US stoked investor concern about the health of the economy. UK, France and Germany Index declined nearly half percent each.
 
·       Oil –  Oil edged lower by 1% to below $77/bbl as traders weighed the outlook for supply and demand after Saudi Arabia’s surprise pledge for extra supply cuts.
 
·       Gold –   -- Gold advanced 1% to $1962/ounce as Treasury yields fell after weak US service-sector activity made traders rethink the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate hike path.
 
·       Previous Day market Update –.Equity benchmark Index ended in the green for the second consecutive session on positive global cues amid hopes of a pause in rate hikes by the US Fed,  ahead of RBI credit policy to be announce this week. Action shifted to defense, shipbuilding and auto stocks. Heavyweights like Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, Tata Motor, L&T, Axis Bank and M&M were major gainers among the Nifty stocks. Sentiments were boosted across the global markets on the hope of US Fed to pause hike in interest rate and strong domestic economy data. Today, May Service PMI data announced while it has eased slightly, but registered the second-strongest rate of growth in close to 13  years, on favourable demand conditions and new client wins. Mid-cap and small cap stocks continued rally and Nifty 500 stocks advance decline ratio was 1.4:1. Sensex climbed 240 points or 0.40 per  cent to settle at 62,787. During the day, it jumped 396 points or 0.63 per cent to 62,943. The Nifty advanced 60 points or 0.30 per cent to end at 18,594. . RBI credit policy would be announce on 8th June or Thursday while US Fed rate decision to be release on subsequent week or June 14. Expectation of RBI to keep unchanged interest rate on account of cooling down inflation.  FIIs were net sellers Rs701cr while DIIs were net buyers Rs1196cr yesterday.
 
·       Nifty Technical Levels – Nifty formed a small bodied candle on daily scale and negated its lower highs formation of the last three sessions to close with gains of around 60 points. Now it has to hold support of 18580 zones to witness an up move towards 18750 and 18888 zones while on the downside support exists at 18480 and 18442 zones.
 
·       Bank Nifty Technical Levels – Bank Nifty formed a Doji candle on daily scale as some profit booking was seen from higher zones in the last hour of the session and it closed at it opening zones. However it negated the formation of lower highs after four sessions to close with gains of around 160 points. It is holding well above its 20DEMA on daily scale and buy on dips stance likely to continue. Now it has to continue to hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44250 then 44500 zones while on the downside support exists at 43750 and 43500 zones.
 
·       Actionable BUY – IDFC, Indusind Bank, Tata Power, Global Health, HAL
 
·       Brokers Radar – ONGC TGT by Morgan Sanely at 206, Nomura – BHEL TGT at 61 from 79. PNC Infra TGT at 375. Jefferies on Power Sectors– Power Gird TGT at275, NTPC TGT at 205, Tata Power TGT at 185 from 175, IEX TGT at 120, JSW Energy TGT at 325. Tatat Consumers TGT by JP Morgan at 770, Axis Bank TGT by Jefferies at 1150
 
·       Events – RBI’s MPC meeting commence from today while RBI credit policy to be announce on Thursday.  IKIO IPO will be open today with price brand between 275-285 a share. Bajaj Finserv meeting for new product launch.
 
·       Corporate Action  - ex-dividend - Nelco Rs2.00
 
·       Global Data – Constriction PMI (UK). Factory Order and Construction PMI (Germany). Exports, Imports and Trade Balance (China)
 
·       Market Summary – Defence Stocks in India Rally as US More Open to Tech Sharing , L&T Finance to sell bad loans worth Rs 3,000 cr, Tata Chemicals Revises Holding Structure of US Operations, TCS bags 10-yr contract from UK, SBI Board to Meet on June 9 to Consider Fund Raising for FY24.
 
·       SBI – Company plans to seek board approval on June 9 to raise funds for the year to March 31,  Fund raising may be considered through private placement of INR and/or foreign currency debt – Positive.
 
·       Focus on Defense stocks - US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said that the country is increasingly interested in sharing defense technology with its south Asian partner.  Austin and his Indian counterpart Rajnath Singh signed a road map for a cooperation agreement in defense and technology – Expects positive for HAL, Paras Defense, Cochin Shipyard, Mazagoan Dock, BEL.
 
·       Adani Group: The group made prepayment of margin linked share backed financing totalling $2.15. Promoters also prepaid $700 million debt taken for the Ambuja Cement acquisition. Cash balance of listed portfolio up 41.5% YoY to $4.75 billion (Rs 40,351 crore) in FY23.
 
·       Mahindra & Mahindra: Sunrise Initiatives sells entire stake of 81.58% in Mahindra Marine to Ocean Blue Boating. Ocean Blue currently holds the balance 18.42% stake in Mahindra Marine – Positive
 
·       Allcargo Logistics: Transindia Real Estate has agreed to further divest 10% stake each in five subsidiaries of Allcargo and a 100% stake in Allcargo Multimodal to Blackstone. – positive
 
·       NELCO: Company inks pact to acquire 9.09% stake in Piscis Networks with an initial investment of Rs 99.99 lakhs. It plans to increase stake in the company to up to at least 30%. – positive
 
·       Indian Energy Exchange: Company reported 8,251 MU overall volume in May, a gain of 8% year-on-year. The market clearing price declined 30% year-on-year to Rs.4.74 per unit. Power demand is expected to increase in coming months and supply side liquidity may improve due to enhanced coal supply - positive
 
·       Emami: Company buys back a total of 23.68 lakh equity shares on Jun. 5.   - Company announced impressive Q4 results.
 
·       Wipro - Company said its cloud-based dynamic digital signage solution Wipro VisionEDGE will power television network Bowling Center TV across the U.S., a new US based digital TV network to be distributed across 1,000 bowling centers in the US. Cisco is also a technology partner signed by BCTV.
 
·       K Cement: Company agrees to sign, execute share purchase agreement to buy 100% stake in Toshali Cements for Rs 157 crore in cash. The acquisition will help the Company expand its footprint into the Eastern Region. - positive
 
·       CSB Bank: Mr. Satish Gundewar takes charge as chief financial officer of company from Jun.5 . He was former CFO of DCB Bank. – Positive
 
·       Godrej Consumer Products: Company appointed Aasif Malbari as Chief financial officer - positive
 
·       JSW Steel - has achieved a significant breakthrough in environmental sustainability by embarking on waste plastic injection in blast furnace. The company has accomplished a remarkable milestone by successfully injecting a substantial quantity of waste plastic into Blast Furnace 3 at their Vijayanagar Steel Plant – positive
 
·       B.L. Kashyap one of the leading Civil Engineering and Construction Company has secured new order aggregating to ₹ 147 Crores approx. The total order book as on date stands at ₹ 2774 Crores – Positive
 
·       Aptech Ltd fixes July 6, 2023 as record date for bonus issue
 
·       Services PMI Eases to 61.2 in May - Services activity contracted in May as the seasonally adjusted S&P Global India Services PMI Business Activity Index eased to 61.2 in May as against 62.0 in April. The expansion was at the second-fastest pace in close to 13 years. Favorable demand conditions, new client wins and positive market dynamics reportedly supported output, S&P said.
 
·       Tata Chemicals  -  company announced the restructuring of its US operations
 
·       Indoco Remedies – Company's CRO arm AnaCipher updates on USFDA inspection, the USFDA has confirmed that no objectionable conditions were observed during their remote assessment. – positive
 
·       PVR INOX - Company launches new 7-screen multiplex at Global Mall, Mysore Road in Bengaluru – positive
 
·       Bajaj Finserv – Company signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with the Government of Maharashtra, to develop a Rs. 5000 crore project in Pune, one of the largest financial services investments in the country. – positive
 
·       L&T Finance– Company has initiated a bidding process to sell non-performing loans worth Rs3,022 crore to asset reconstruction companies. These loans are spread across 10 accounts, including Nirmal Lifestyle Developers, Nirmal Lifestyle Malls, and Supertech. – positive
 
·       Sbi Card – Company approves raising Rs3000cr funds via debt, bond, private plcement - Positive
 
·       NSE, BSE To Introduce Enhanced Surveillance Mechanism For "Micro-Small" Companies From Jun 5 - To curb volatility in small-cap counters, leading stock exchanges BSE and NSE have put in place an enhanced surveillance mechanism for companies that have a market cap of less than Rs 500 crore
 
·       TCS – Company has been awarded a 10-year contract by the UK Government's Department for Education to administer the Teachers’ Pension Scheme. The contract includes administration and further enhancement of customer experiences via a digitally enabled system.
 
·       Mahindra Life - Company announced, Mahindra Industrial Park Chennai a JV between Mahindra World City Developers and Japan-based OMRON Healthcare will start operations at Origins by March 2025. The OMRON Healthcare factory will be built over 6.02 acres and will be manufacturing blood pressure monitors and supplying them mainly to the domestic market.- Positive
 
·       Tata Power - Company will set up renewable energy plant in Bikaner, Rajasthan, to supply 211 million units to Kerala The project is expected to be completed in seven months – positive
 
·       Suzlon – Company becomes first Indian wind energy company to cross 20 GW of wind energy installations through 12,467 wind turbines installed across 17 countries. – Avoid due to poor balance sheet
 
·       Embassy Office Parks REIT – Company to Raise Rs 1,050 Crore Via Private Placement Of NCDs Company will allot 1,05,000 non-convertible debentures at a face value of Rs 1,00,000 each for the coupon rate of 7.77% per annum – positive.
 
·       Greaves Cotton - Company's NBFC Arm Introduces online platform for EV financing Greaves finance launches electric vehicle financing platform 'evfin". - positive
 
·       Patel Engineering receives a contract for the construction of a 6.70 km treated water tunnel from CIDCO worth Rs520
 
·       Som Distilleries – Company announces 42% growth in its beer market share in Madhya Pradesh for the month of May.- positive
 
·       HG Infra – Company gets Rs655cr railway EPC orders – positive
 
·       Nava LTD – Company says its Zambia based colliery has lowered overall liabilities by about $277m.  The unit Maamba Collieries Ltd. has leveraged upon the improved operational cash flows to discharge overdue loan instalment aside from meeting regular debt service from March.  The unit has reduced its overall liabilities by $277m since start of December to $206m, which is a significant turnaround in its financial position – stock gained 7% yesterday
 
 
 

Monday, June 5, 2023

Market Indication

Market Indication:
Global: FLAT to POSITIVE

NIFTY: FLAT to POSITIVE

BANKNIFTY:  FLAT to POSITIVE

BULK Deals:Jtekt India, Lyka Labs, Speciality Restaurants etc.

Stocks In F&O Ban Period: Nil

Results Today: Nil

SGX NIFTY:  (Positive)

18721     +92.50    +0.50%

Bank Nifty opened on a positive note

Bank Nifty opened on a positive note but failed to surpass 44044 marks and drifted towards 43800 zones in the first hour of the day. However it recovered from lower zones and extended its movement towards 44088 zones. Later it consolidated in a range of 200 points in between 43800 to 44020 zones.

Long built up was seen as OI was up (2.11%) and Price was up (0.37%). Last week on week (Thursday close to Thursday) OI change comes to 9.4% with price change by 0.5%

FIIs Long Short Ratio increased to 47.55%

Bank Nifty Put Call Ratio increased from 0.76 to 0.80

SGX Nifty June OI 197,043 contracts. (-1.82%)

SGX indicates a positive start and Dow closed positive.
*Important support level : 43500*
*Important resistance level : 44500*
*Broader trading range : 43500/43750 to 44250/44500 zones*

Derivatives update

*Derivatives update*

Good morning !! 
Derivatives update for Monday, 5th June 2023.

India VIX was down by 4.09% from 11.59 to 11.12 levels. Volatility has been cooling off and thus in turn creating swings within a smaller range in the indices making it choppy for most part of the session.

Nifty *Put/Call Ratio* (OI) decreased from 1 to 0.95 level. 

On option front, weekly Maximum Call OI is at 18600 then 18500 strike while Maximum Put OI is at 18500 then 18400 strike. Call writing is seen at 18600 then 18800 strike while Put writing is seen at 18500 then 18300 strike.

*Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 18200 to 18800 zones while an immediate trading range in between 18300 to 18700 zones.*

For weekly Bank Nifty, Maximum Put OI is at 44000 then 43000 strike and maximum Call OI is placed at 44000 then 46000 strike. We have seen Call writing 46000 and Put writing is witnessed at 41500 strike. 

Bank Nifty Put Call Ratio increased from 0.76 to 0.80. Implied volatility fell from 14.3 to 12.7 levels.

Bank Nifty (CMP 43,937.85)
Data setup for Bank Nifty suggests a trading range in between *43500/43750 to 44250/44500 zones.*

Looking ahead at the FII’s derivatives activity, there was long built up in index futures, call & put buying in index options and short covering in stock futures.

In the cash market, FIIs were net sellers to the tune of 658 crores while DII’s were net buyers worth 582 crores. FIIs Index Long Short Ratio increased to 47.55%.

Derivatives data and price set up suggests, Nifty has to hold support of 18442 zones to witness an up move towards 18666 and 18750 zones while on the downside support exists at 18442 and 18333 zones.

Bank Nifty has to cross and hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44250 then 44500 zones while on the downside support exists at 43750 and 43500 zones.

Thank you. Have a great trading day and week ahead..!!

Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up

*Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up*

◆ Nifty index opened positive but failed to surpass immediate hurdle of 18580 zones and remained volatile in broader trading range in between 18480 to 18580 zones for most part of the day. It formed a small bodied Bearish candle and an inside bar on daily scale with longer lower shadow indicating support based buying is intact. It has been forming lower highs from the last three sessions and closed the day with gains of around 45 points. It formed a small bodied Bearish candle on weekly frame but has been forming higher highs from the last ten weeks

◆ Now it has to hold support of 18442 zones to witness an up move towards 18666 and 18750 zones while on the downside support exists at 18442 and 18333 zones

◆ India VIX was down by 4.09% from 11.59 to 11.12 levels. Volatility has been cooling off and thus in turn creating swings within a smaller range in the indices making it choppy for most part of the session

◆ On option front, weekly Maximum Call OI is at 18600 then 18500 strike while Maximum Put OI is at 18500 then 18400 strike. Call writing is seen at 18600 then 18800 strike while Put writing is seen at 18500 then 18300 strike. Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 18200 to 18800 zones while an immediate trading range in between 18300 to 18700 zones

◆ Bank Nifty opened on a positive note but failed to surpass 44044 marks and drifted towards 43800 zones in the first hour of the day. However it recovered from lower zones and extended its movement towards its opening level near 44088 zones. Later on it consolidated in a range of 200 points in between 43800 to 44020 zones and formed an Inside Bar on daily scale. It has been forming lower highs - lower lows on daily scale from the past three sessions but holding well above its 20DEMA. It formed a Bearish candle on weekly scale but structure of higher highs is intact from the last ten weeks

◆ Now it has to cross and hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44250 then 44500 zones while on the downside support exists at 43750 and 43500 zones

◆ Bullish setup in PFC, HAL, Hindalco, Heromotoco, Astral, Tatacomm, Apollo Hospital, DLF, Rec Ltd, Trent, Tatasteel, Poly Cab, TVS Motor, NMDC, Mphasis, Lauras Labs, Can Bank, M&M, Titan, Zydus Life, M&MFin, Sunpharma and Maruti

◆ Bearish setup in MGL, Gujgas, IGL, BPCL and Hindpetro

News and Impact

News and Impact
 
 
·      Expects market to open on a strong note on account of across global market rally due to boosted sentiment after reported positive US economy data, hope of US Fed to pause hike in interest rate and strong domestic economy data. U.S. stocks climbed up to 2% (Dow Jones gained over 700 points) on Friday after a labor market report showing moderating wage growth in May, indicating the Federal Reserve may skip a rate hike in two weeks, while markets welcomed a Washington deal that avoided a catastrophic debt default. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, dropped below 15 from an average of 23 in the past year after the US private sector payrolls increased by 339,000 in May, compared estimate of 190,000. Russell 2000 index of small caps, the home of several regional banks soared about 3.5%. SGX Nifty is up nearly 100 points or over half percent. On the domestic front, easing inflation, stronger-than-expected economic growth data (FY23 GDP 7.2% - expectation 6.9%), persistent FIIs buying interest, fast-paced expansion of India's factory output (May PMI 31-Month high) and better than expected auto monthly sales data will have positive impact on market sentiments. RBI credit policy would be announce on 8th June or Thursday while US Fed rate decision to be release on subsequent week or June 14. Expectation of RBI to keep unchanged interest rate on account of cooling down inflation. Among the sectors to be watch for today – metal stocks will be in focus after the news that the China is working on a new basket of measures to support the property market. Interest sensitive sectors like banks, finance, real estate and auto stocks will be in momentum ahead of RBI credit policy. Tech stocks may be positive after the global IT major Index, Nasdaq Composite surged to 9-month high.
 
·      US Market   – U.S. stocks jumped Friday, with the Dow Jones closing up 701 points orv over 2% , after the May jobs report showed the labor market is in surprisingly strong shape despite the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening of monetary policy in the past year. A mixed jobs report shaped the wagers on a Fed pause, with signs of labor-market slackening in May despite a pickup in hiring. Investor sentiment was high Friday following the blowout nonfarm payrolls growth in May reported by the Labor Department. Public and private sector payrolls increased by 339,000 in May, compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 190,000. Nasdaq Composite soared 1% while Dow Jones Index advance 2%.
 
·      Global market summary – US CBOE Volatility Index fell to 2-year low to below 15, S&P 500 surged by 20% from the October low, indicating a bull market, US 2- year and 10-year spiked to 2-month low. 
 
·      Asian Market – Asian markets surged on Monday after the S&P 500 rose to the cusp of a bull market amid strengthening bets for a Federal Reserve rate pause this month. Japan Index surged over 400 points or 1.5%. Taiwan, South Korea, Australia Index gained over 1% each. A mixed jobs report shaped the wagers on a Fed pause, with signs of labor-market slackening in May despite a pickup in hiring.
 
·      Oil –  Oil advanced 3% to $77/bbl after the Saudi Arabia said it will make an extra 1 million barrel-a-day supply cut in July, taking its production to the lowest level for several years following a slide in prices.
 
·      Previous Day market Update – Amid positive cues from global markets and strong domestic macroeconomic data, benchmark equity indices posted modest gains led by metal, select banking, pharma, and auto stocks. Easing inflation, stronger-than-expected economic growth data, and fast-paced expansion of India's factory output have improved investor confidence. Among the global markets, US, Europe and Asia markets gained between 1-2% (Hong Kong index gained 4%) after the US Senate passed legislation to suspend the country’s debt ceiling, ending a drama that weighed on market sentiment. Moreover, investors remain hopeful of US Fed to pause the hike in interest rate in the June policy meeting. Better than expected monthly sales data and USDINR fell to a 1-month low and persistent FIIs buying interest also added fuel to the market sentiment. Sensex advance 118 points or 0.20% higher to close at 62,547while Nifty gained 46 points or 0.2% to close at 18,534 against the previous day’s close. FIIs were net sellers Rs71cr while DIIs were net buyers Rs489cr yesterday.
 
·      Nifty Technical Levels – Nifty has been forming lower highs from the last three sessions and closed the day with gains of around 45 points. It formed a small bodied Bearish candle on weekly frame but has been forming higher highs from the last ten weeks. Now it has to hold support of 18442 zones to witness an up move towards 18666 and 18750 zones while on the downside support exists at 18442 and 18333 zones.
 
·      Bank Nifty Technical Levels – Bank Nifty has been forming lower highs - lower lows on daily scale from the past three sessions but holding well above its 20DEMA. It formed a Bearish candle on weekly scale but structure of higher highs is intact from the last ten weeks. Now it has to cross and hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44250 then 44500 zones while on the downside support exists at 43750 and 43500 zones.
 
·      Actionable – Paytm, Tata Steel, National Aluminium, Bharat Forge, Tech Mahindra, Lemon Tree Hotel, SBI, Tata Chemical
 
·      Brokers Radar – Vedanta – JP Morgan TGT at 280 from 350, Hindustan Zins TGT by JP Morgan to 205 from 235, Bharti Airtel TGT raised BY Goldman Sachs at 890 from 575 and Macquarie TGT at 1000, CITI TGT on AU Small Finance Bank at 765, M&M Finance TGT by Citi at 355 from 310, Bajaj Finance TGT by Morgan Stanley at 8500.
 
·      Events – Maruti to launch new model Jimmy.
 
·      Corporate Action  - Hardwyn India – Bonus 1:3 and stock split from Rs10 to Re1. Shyam Metalic Rs1.80.
 
·      Global Data – Service PMI, Manufacturing PMI, Durable Goods Orders (US). New Car Registration, Service PMI and Composite PMI (UK). Composite PMI and Service PMI (France). Composite PMI, Service PMI. Composite PMI, Service PMI (China)
 
·      Market Summary – Apollo Hospitals Seeks $200m From Digital Unit Stake Sale: ET , Adani Ports hits lifetime high monthly cargo volumes in May 2023 , India’s Jobless Rate Falls to 3-Month Low of 7.7% in May: CMIE Data, ICICI Bank cuts lending rates, Mphasis Consulting Ltd to acquire eBECS Ltd., Mahindra Financial May Disbursements Rise 39% Y/y to Rs41.5B, Tata Chemical signed an MoU with the Gujarat Govt. to set up a 20 GW capacity lithium-ion cell manufacturing giga factory
 
·      Focus on Forging stocks – Bharat Forge reported 10% surged its North America class 8 truck at 15500 unit (29% spiked MoM). Focus also, RK Forging, M&M Forging also
 
·      Tata Chemicals: The company signed an MoU with the Government of Gujarat to set up a 20 GW capacity lithium-ion cell manufacturing giga factory with an investment of Rs 13,000 crore, the state government said in a statement. The company will reorganise its U.S. operations to rationalise the number of intermediate entities. – positive
 
·      SBI Life Insurance: Insurance regulator IRDAI approved transfer of life insurance business of Sahara India Life Insurance Co. to SBI Life, with immediate effect. - positive
 
·      Indian Overseas Bank: The Reserve Bank of India imposed a monetary penalty pf Rs 2.20 crore on the bank over regulatory non-compliance.- Avoid
 
·      Tech Mahindra: The company’s subsidiary Comviva Technologies and step-down subsidiary Comviva Technologies B.V. have agreed to sell 0.04% and 99.96% shareholding, respectively in Comviva Technologies do Brasil Indústria, Comércio, Importação e Exportação to Druid Internet Systems Comércio E Serviços for an upfront payment of $20,000 and deferred payment of $1.42 million. – We are positive on the stock
 
·      Godrej Properties: The company bought the remaining 26% stake in Godrej Home Constructions for Rs 14.99 crore, taking its total shareholding to 100%. – positive
 
·      Mahindra Lifespace Developers: Japan-based Omron Healthcare will start operations at Origins by Mahindra industrial cluster in Chennai by March 2025. – positive
 
·      PI Industries: The company completed acquisition of 100% stake of Therachem Research Medilab (India) and Solis Pharmachem, as well as acquisition of certain identified assets of TRM U.S. by PI Health Sciences U.S.A. – positive
 
·      IPCA Lab - The Income Tax Department has carried out survey proceedings at the Company's offices in Mumbai and at Sikkim manufacturing plants between 30th May, 2023 to 3rd June, 2023.- Any sharp decline will be buying opportunity
 
·      Lemon Tree Hotel – Company announced the opening of two of its latest hotels - Lemon Tree Hotel, Agra and Lemon Tree Hotel, Bhopal. - positive
 
·      NTPC –Company commissions last part capacity of 50 MW of 300 MW Nokhra Solar PV Project and 50:50 JV with IOC - positive for long term
 
·      Wonder Holidays – Company has announced that the Government of Tamil Nadu has granted waiver of Local Body Tax (LBT) of 10% for a period of 10 years from the commencement of commercial operations, after persistent efforts by the Company.- Positive
 
·      Lupin Labs – Company announced the launch of Darunavir Tablets in US MARKET of , 600 mg and 800 mg. Darunavir Tablets, 600 mg and 800 mg (RLD Prezista®) had estimated annual sales of USD 308 million in the U.S. (IQVIA MAT March 2023). – positive
 
·      Indo Rama Synthetics – Company has successfully started commercial production of "Bottle grade PET resins" from its newly constructed Solid-State Polymerisation (SSP) Plant at Butibori, Nagpur, Maharashtra- Positive.
 
·      Wipro – Company fixes June 16, 2023 as record date for buyback
 
·      Hero Motocorp - Compnay launched a refreshing new range of its highly popular 100cc motorcycle - the HF Deluxe. – positive
 
·      Zydus Lifesciences- Company announced that the group's animal health drug manufacturing facility at SEZ, Ahmedabad underwent a USFDA inspection from 30th May to 2nd June, 2023. The inspection closed with nil observations. – positive
 
·      Indoco Remedies - The USFDA had inspected Indoco Remedies facility located at Goa, from February 20, 2023 to February 28, 2023. The said Facility had 4 observations in Form 483. – Avoid
 
·      India’s Jobless Rate Falls to 3-Month Low of 7.7% in May: Unemployment rate fell to a three-month low in May as about 12 million people who were either employed or looking for work dropped out of the labor force, according to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy Pvt. (CMIE).  Jobless rate in May was 7.7%, compared with 8.5% in April.
 
·      TARC Ltd (Annad Raj) - Company announced another pre-payment of its NCD commitments. Company has made a payment of RS. 87.95 crores on June 1, 2023, out of which Rs.56.90 crores has been towards partial redemption of unlisted NCDs. – positive
 
·      Tata Elaxsi – Company  has partnered with Cultos Global to integrate a Blockchain mechanism from Cultos Global with its TETHER Connected Vehicle Platform, to create an innovative Driver Reward Program. – positive
 
·      Hero Motocorp - Company reported May monthly sales volume at 519474 unit (up 7% YoY) – Expectation 418565 unit
 
·      DCB Bank – Company names Ravi Kumar as CFO – positive
 
·      ICICI Bank cuts lending rates - ICICI Bank has reduced its marginal cost-based lending rates (MCLR) for the month of June 2023. The one-month MCLR has been reduced from 8.50% to 8.35%, while the three-month MCLR has experienced a 15 basis point decrease, settling at 8.40%. – Positive
 
·      Bank of Baroda – Company approved raising of additional capital worth Rs5000cr via Tier 1 and Tier 11 bond – Positive   
 
·      M&M Finance - Collection efficiency was at 96% for May, compared with 95% a year earlier, Mahindra and Mahindra Financial.  Business assets at Rs85500cr ($10.4 billion), rise 3.3% over March. Stage-3 and Stage-2 assets continued to remain range-bound compared with March.
 
·      Adani Ports hits lifetime high monthly cargo volumes in May 2023 – Company handled over 36 MMT of total cargo at its ports, implying 19% YoY growth.  On YTD basis, APSEZ has clocked ~68.5 MMT of overall cargo volumes, which is a good 16% YoY growth – positive
 
·      Allcargo Logistic – Company has announced several significant appointments in key leadership positions within the organisation. These strategic appointments post demerger, reinforce for growth. These appointments exemplify Allcargo Group's commitment to driving expansion and enhancing its presence in the dynamic logistics industry. Mr. Adarsh Hegde, who is the joint Managing Director, based out of Mumbai has been with the organization for over 30 years, has now been promoted to the position of Managing Director.- Positive
 
·      Minda Corp -  Company has considered and approved the proposal of raising of funds through public and/or private offerings including preferential issue, qualified institutions for an aggregate amount not exceeding Rs600 Crores – positive
 
·      Ramco Systems – Company announced the inauguration of its wholly owned subsidiary in Qatar, to support and transform the region's business houses and MNCs in the area of ERP, HR, and payroll. – positive
 
·      M&M - Swaraj Tractors, part of the Mahindra Group, launched a Compact Light Weight tractor range called the 'Swaraj Target'. - Positive
 
·      Jyoti Ltd - Company has secured a prestigious order of Rs. 6.21 Crores from IOC – Positive
 
·      Mphasis– Company has signed a definitive agreement to acquire 100% of the shares in eBECS Limited (a wholly owned subsidiary of DXC UK International Operations Limited), (the "Acquisition"), subject to fulfilment of closing conditions. eBECS Limited is a subsidiary of DXC UK International Operations Limited. It is one of the largest Microsoft Dynamics partners in the UK and Ireland region. – positive
 
·      Apollo Hospitals Seeks $200m From Digital Unit Stake Sale: Apollo Hospitals plans to raise around $200million by selling as much as 6% stake in its omni channel health care digital unit Apollo HealthCo, The sale is expected to value the company $2.5 billion to $3 billion. Apollo HealthCo owns digital health platform Apollo 24/7, a pharmacy distribution business, and a 25.5% stake in Apollo Pharmacies.
 
·      IndiGo to Start Flights to Six New International Destinations - Biggest airline InterGlobe Aviation, which flies under the IndiGo brand, will start flights to six new international destinations across Asia and Africa – Positive
 
·      Bank of Maharashtra – Company announced the launch of its qualified institutional placement to raise funds, beginning June 1, 2023 late Thursday. The bank plans to raise funds via the QIP issue at the floor price of Rs 29.98 a share.  The board of directors will reconvene on June 6, 2023, to determine the issue price for the allotment to QIP.
 
·      SJVN: The company signed a project development agreement of 669 MW Lower Arun Hydroelectric Project in Nepal. The company is also developing a 217 km long associated transmission network for power evacuation and export to India. – Positive
 
·      NTPC: Company signed a deal with Uttar Pradesh Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam to develop renewable energy parks and project in Kalikot – positive
 
·      GAIL (India): The company infused into JBF Petrochemicals Rs 2,101 crore, including equity worth Rs 625 crore and debt worth Rs 1,476 crore, under the resolution plan for the latter. With this, JBF Petrochemicals has become a wholly owned subsidiary of GAIL. - positive
 
·      Prism Johnson: Of the proposed investment to acquire a 45% stake in Renew Green (MPR Two), the company has acquired 72.76 lakh shares for Rs 7.28 crore.-  positive
 
·      Affle (India): Affle International Pte., a wholly owned Singapore subsidiary of the company, has completed the 100% acquisition of YouAppi Inc. - positive
 
·      Anmol India – Company approves bonus issue of 4 shares for every 1 held - Avoid
 
·      Greenply Industry approves disposal of Myanmar unit asset – positive to exit non-core business.   

NEWS K Saudagars

NEWS K Saudagars':
📊 SUMMARY OF OPEC PRODUCTION CUTS 📊

1️⃣ Saudi Arabia to extend 500K barrel per day cuts until 2024

2️⃣ Saudi Arabia to cut an additional 1 million barrels per day voluntarily

3️⃣ Iraq to extend 211K barrels per day cuts until 2024

4️⃣ Russia to extend voluntary production cuts until 2024

5️⃣ OPEC agrees to new production target of 40.5 million barrels per day

📍This comes after Saudi Arabia told oil short sellers to “watch out.”

📍OPEC is not messing around.

Trade setup for today: Top 15 things to know before the opening bell

📈A bounce is expected in the market during the week. For the Nifty, hurdle is at 18,650-18,850, while immediate support is seen at 18,400-18,300, Nagaraj Shetti of HDFC Securities has said

📈The market recouped the previous day's losses and snapped a two-day losing streak on June 2, on broad-based buying, with the Sensex closing 119 points higher at 62,547 and the Nifty50 ending at 18,534, up 46 points.

📈The Nifty, which traded within the previous day's range, formed a small bodied bearish candlestick with minor upper and long lower shadows on the daily charts. The pattern indicates formation of Inside Bar candle with overlapping candles.

📈"The positive chart pattern like higher tops and bottoms continued as per daily timeframe chart and the present consolidation could be in line with the higher bottom formation of the pattern. The higher bottom reversal pattern has not been confirmed yet," Nagaraj Shetti, Technical Research Analyst, HDFC Securities, said.

📈Considering the recent consolidation and the subsequent negation of such bearish patterns, one can expect a bounce in the market in the coming week, he said. For Nifty, immediate support is at 18,400-18,300 and the upside hurdle is at 18,650-18,850, Shetti said.

📈The broader market outperformed the benchmark. Nifty midcap 100 and smallcap 100 indices gained half a percent each.

Key support, resistance levels on Nifty

📈The Nifty may get support at 18,492 followed by 18,470 and 18,433. If the index advances, 18,565 will be the key resistance followed by 18,588 and 18,624.

Nifty Bank

📈The Bank Nifty also traded in line with benchmarks, rising 148 points to 43,938 on June 2 and formed a small bearish candlestick with upper and lower shadows, which resembled the Inside Bar pattern on the daily scale, indicating rangebound trade. It continued forming llower highs for the third straight day.

📈"At this juncture, the Bank Nifty has rising trendline support at 43,700. Going ahead, a close below 43,700 might spoil the party for the bulls and we might witness profit booking in the markets," Jigar S Patel, Senior Manager - Equity Research, AnandRathi, said.

📈On the upside, 44,500 would be an initial resistance on way to the 45,000 milestone.

📈As per the pivot point calculator, the Bank Nifty is expected to take support at 43,841 followed by 43,776 and 43,670. Resistance will be at 44,052 then 44,117, and 44,223.

Call options data

On the weekly options front, the maximum Call open interest (OI) was at 19,500 strike, with 1.06 crore contracts, which is expected to be a crucial resistance level for the Nifty.

This was followed by 18,600 strike comprising 1.03 crore contracts and 18,500 strike with more than 77.14 lakh contracts.

Meaningful call writing was seen at 18,600 strike, which added 42.43 lakh contracts, followed by 19,500 strike, which added 41.63 lakh contracts, and 18,800 strike, which added 24.66 lakh contracts.

Call unwinding was at 18,300 strike, which shed 21,750 contracts, followed by 18,100 strike, which shed 17,250 contracts, and 17,700 strike, which shed 6,400 contracts.

Put option data

On the put side, the maximum open interest was at 18,500 strike, with 1.02 crore contracts, which is expected to be an important support level in the coming sessions.

It was followed by the 18,600 strike, comprising 57.99 lakh contracts, and the 18,000 strike with 44.12 lakh contracts.

Business News Headlines

*Business News Headlines*

*Economic Times*

Ø RBI may hit rate pause button again this week
Ø Consumer Goods orders swell as brands bet big on festive season 
Ø 69% of train accidents between  FY18 and FY21 due to derailment 
Ø E-way bill generation rises to 8.82 crore in May, points to robust GST  collection in June 
Ø EV start-ups set to power India’s next unicorn club  
Ø Opec+ reaches agreement to extend output cuts into 2024  
Ø Spot airfares up 3x in a month on India’s busiest routes 

*Business Standard*

Ø GST Council likely to approve tribunal blueprint this month   
Ø India may give UK access to PV market, with riders  
Ø Railways seeks CBI probe into Odisha train accident 
Ø USFDA checks of Indian sites still below pre-Covid levels
Ø Reliance Retail, 6 others submit EoIs for Future arm 
Ø Ola Electric likely to cross $1-bn revenue this yr: Ola exec 
Ø Foreign airlines have reaped benefits of growing Indian market, says Wilson  

*Financial Express*
 
Ø DoT plans more shops to Chip firms 
Ø Street sees modest growth of India Inc's topline in FY24
Ø Falling costs power Q4 earnings  
after two quarters of weakness  
Ø FPIs pump in ₹43,838 cr in May, highest in 9 months 
Ø Lemon Tree can ride high on expansion amid improved demand 
Ø Manufacturing PMI hits 31-mth  
high in May on strong demand 
Ø Walmart shareholding in PhonePe drops to 85% 

*Mint*

Ø Govt plans ₹15k cr push for batteries 
Ø RBI may continue pause on rate hike    
Ø Saudi Arabia slashes crude oil output by 1 mn bbl a day        
Ø India to join global scheme to  
improve quality of drugs  
Ø IFC plans $500 mn long-term  
financing for smart meter cos    
Ø India may bring back CVD on  
steel to check flood of imports 
Ø Indians pick UPI over debit cards for ease of use, zero fees 

*Business Line*
 
Ø Banks cut rates on FDs of up 
to 3 years on easing liquidity
Ø Corporate India set for some big hitting on investment front: CII  president   
Ø IEAsees slowdown in solar 
installations in India this year   
Ø Upbeat on India, FPIs pump in  ₹43,838 cr in May 
Ø Balco listing: Govt holds talks  with Vedanta to withdraw  arbitration 
Ø HUL starts price cuts in some  FMCG categories  
Ø Luxury carmakers mull price hike as input costs rise     

Friday, June 2, 2023

WIPRO Buyback

WIPRO Buyback RECORD DATE Announced

Record Date for Eligibility : Friday, JUNE 16

Buyback Price : 445 ₹
Today's Closing Price : 405 ₹

Buyback Size ₹ : 12,000 Crore
Buyback Size in Share : 26,96,62,921 Shares

Retail Reservation : 4,04,49,439 Shares