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Thursday, June 8, 2023

Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up

*Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up*

◆ Nifty index opened gap up by 66 points near key level of 18666 marks and kept moving in the northward direction throughout the day. It held on to its higher zones with some consolidation in the first half of the session followed by a sharp rally in the next half of the day. It touched intraday high of 18738 zones and closed strongly near its day’s high with gains of around 130 points. It formed a Bullish candle on daily scale with longer lower shadow indicating support based buying at any minor dip. Index has given a range breakout on daily frame and gave the second highest ever close

◆ Now it has to continue to hold above 18666 zones to witness an up move towards 18800 and 18888 zones while on the downside support exists at 18636 and 18580 zones

◆ India VIX was up by 0.55% from 11.38 to 11.44 levels. Volatility sunk below 10 zones during the day but finally closed a tad bit higher but overall comforted the bull for the fresh leg of rally in the index

◆ On option front, weekly maximum Call OI is at 18800 then 18700 strike while maximum Put OI is at 18600 then 18500 strike. Call writing is seen at 18850 then 18900 strike while Put writing is seen at 18700 then 18650 strike. Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 18450 to 18900 zones while an immediate trading range in between 18600 to 18800 zones

◆ Bank Nifty opened on a positive note but failed to move above 44350 zones and gradually drifted towards its crucial 44144 level in the first half of the session. However some recovery was seen from lower levels in the last hour of the session and it formed a small bodied candle on daily scale with long lower shadow. It relatively underperformed the broader market and remained consolidative in narrow range of 200 points

◆ Now it has to continue to hold above 44144 zones for an up move towards 44500 then 44750 zones while on the downside support exists at 44044 and 43750 zones

◆ Bullish setup in Hindpetro, Glenmark, Canfin Homes, UBL, Tataconsum, Britannia, BPCL, Nestleind, Piind, Jswsteel, Tatacomm, Tatasteel, Tatamotors, HAL, ABB, Heromotoco, Powergrid, IOC, LT, Siemens, Cholafin, Apollo Hospital, Escorts, IRCTC, Bata India and SRF

◆ Bearish setup in Ibulhsgfin and Zydus Life

Wednesday, June 7, 2023

FII and DII data

FII and DII data Cash segment 7th june

FII net buy ₹ 1383 cr
DII net buy ₹393 cr 

2day of time FII Buying in June month, 

Both on Buying side today and hence ended in green

BUY ESCORTS CASH

BUY ESCORTS CASH @ 2200-2210,SL 2185, TGT 2234, 2276, 2350+

RBI policy due on Thursday

RBI policy due on Thursday and may trigger high volatility in bank nifty. 

TRADING RANGE. 
Nifty Future - 13750-13600
Bank Nifty Future - 44560-44000

NIFTY GAP UP

✅ NIFTY GAP UP 66 POINTS 

✅ BANKNIFTY GAP UP 154 POINTS

Sell crude

Sell crude below 5910

Sl 5940

Tgt 5900,5889

Market Indication

Market Indication:
Global: FLAT to POSITIVE

NIFTY: FLAT to POSITIVE

BANKNIFTY:  FLAT to POSITIVE

BULK Deals:Ceinsys Tech, Gravita India etc.

Stocks In F&O Ban Period: Indiabulls Housing Finance, India Cements, and Manappuram Finance

Results Today: Nil

SGX NIFTY:  (Positive)

18705     +26.50    +0.14%

News and Impact

News and Impact
 
 
·       Expects market to open on a positive note on account of rally in the global market while investors awaited inflation data and the Federal Reserve's policy meeting to be announce next week. Hope of US Fed and RBI to keep unchanged interest rate amid expectation of China to announce stimulus package will be positive for the market sentiment. US S&P 500 Index closed its highest level in 10 months and the Nasdaq Composite finished at a 14-month high, as investors wait for May inflation data due next week, just ahead of the Federal Reserve's June.  US Mid-cap index major, Russel 2000 Index climbed up by 2.5% yesterday. Expectations that the US Fed will pause its monetary tightening at least temporarily. As a result, US Vix declined by 5% to close at below 14. Asian markets are witnessing mixed bag and SGX Nifty is up quarter percent. In the domestic front, expectation that the RBI may keep unchanged interest rate on account of stable domestic inflation. Positive factor that the FIIs were net buyers nearly Rs400cr yesterday after a net sellers in the last three trading sessions. Expects stock specific action in the market and traders focus on mid-cap and small cap counters. Focus on interest sensitive sectors like auto, financials and real estate stocks on ahead of RBI credit policy to be announce tomorrow . Expects rally to continue on defense stocks.
 
·       US Market   –U.S. stocks marginally gain on Tuesday as investors wait for May inflation data due next week just ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting now that the federal debt ceiling issue has been resolved. US S&P 500 Index closed its highest level in 10 months and the Nasdaq Composite finished at a 14-month high
 
·       Global market summary – Both US 2 years and 10-year bond surged by 1% to 2-week high ahead of US policy outcome next week. US Vix slipped 5% to close at below 14.
 
·       Asian Market – Asian stocks are witnessing mixed bag today, with hopes for stimulus in China, a positive sign in geopolitics and hints of more broad-based strength in US shares bolstering sentiment. Benchmark indexes were higher at the open in South, Korea, Taiwan and Australia while Japan Index marginally decline.
 
·       European Market – European stocks rose on Tuesday, boosted by strength in health care stocks, while chipmakers led the tech sector lower after a glum outlook from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. UK, Germany and France Index gained nearly quarter percent each.
 
·       Oil –  Brent Crude gained 1% to above $76/bbl after the news of fall in US inventory. The American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday reported a decrease of 1.71 million barrels of crude oil in U.S. inventories for the week ending June 2.
 
·       Gold –   Gold futures rose 1% to $1965/ounce as investors assessed the outlook for interest rates ahead of next week's meeting of Federal Reserve policy
 
·       Previous Day market Update –. Equity benchmark index recovered from lows but ended flat after a 2-day rally as a slide in IT stocks overshadowed the gains in auto, cement,  real estate and private bank stocks amid hopes of a rate hike pause by the US Federal Reserve and ahead of RBI credit policy to be announce in the next couple of days. Sensex gained 5 points or 0.01% to settle at 62,793 while touched intra-day low of 62554. Nifty rose 5 points or 0.03% to end at 18,599 while touched intra-day low of 18532. Global markets were mixed today after a report that showed growth in service industries is slowing stoked concern the US economy is weakening. Ultratech, Maruti, Divi’s Lab, Kotak Bank and Grasim were major gainers while TCS, Tech Mahindra, HDFC twins and Infosys were among the major losers Nifty stocks. Nifty auto Index climbed up by 1% while Nifty it Index slipped 2%. small- and mid-sized companies extended their record runs as investors looked to rotate allocations following the end of the earnings season.  FIIs were net buyers Rs386cr while DIIs were net sellers Rs489cr yesterday.
 
·       Nifty Technical Levels – Nifty formed a Doji sort of candle on daily scale with longer lower shadow indicating support based buying on declines. Now it has to continue to hold above 18580 zones to witness an up move towards 18666 and 18750 zones while on the downside support exists at 18480 and 18442 zones.
 
·       Bank Nifty Technical Levels – Bank Nifty formed a Doji sort of candle on daily scale as buying interest was seen at lower zones. Overall it remained consolidative in narrow range of 200 points as selective private banks continue to hold the Index while few public banks remained lacklustre . Now it has to continue to hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44500 then 44750 zones while on the downside support exists at 44000 and 43750 zones.
 
·       Actionable BUY – HAL, Mazagoan Dock, Paras Defense, GMR Infra
 
·       Brokers Radar – ONGC TGT by Goldman at 160. Goldman Sachs TGT on Reliance Industries at 2890 and Nomura TGT at 2850.  Eicher Motor TGT by Morgan Stanley at 3533 and Citi TGT at 4800. Kotak Bank TGT by Morgan Stanley at 2215. ITC TGT by JP Morgan at 475.
 
·       Events – Final day of MPC meeting on of ahead of RBI Credit policy to be announce tomorrow, IKIO IPO subscribed by 1.5 time. Australia and India test champion final at London. Cabinet and CCEA meet
 
·       Corporate Action  - Tata Power Rs2.00, Uniparts India Rs6, Seshasayee Paper - AGM and ex-dividend Rs6
 
·       Global Data – Mortgage Application and Trade Balance (US). Trade Balance and Current account balance (France).
 
·       Market Summary – Bajaj Finserv enters mutual fund business, NSE changes Nifty Bank F&O expiry day to Friday, Aditya Birla to Invest $605M on Branded Jewelry Retail Foray, NTPC Declares Second Part of Solar Power Project in Gujarat, Bharti Airtel Bags Mandate to Power Indian Government's, Germany May Build India Submarines - Mazagon Dock likely to jointly bid for an estimated $5.2bn, NHPC Signs Accord for 7.35GW Clean Energy Projects
 
·       Mazagoan Dock  - Germany and India are closing in on a deal to build diesel submarines. Thyssenkrupp AG’s marine arm and India’s Mazagon Dock are likely to jointly bid for an estimated $5.2bn project to build six submarines for the Indian navy, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The preliminary agreement or memorandum of understanding will be signed in the presence of Defense Minister Boris Pistorius who arrived in New Delhi Tuesday for a two-day visit, German and Indian officials said.
 
·       GMR Infra - GMR Group on 6 June announced divestment of an 8,18,000 sqft warehouse facility located at Hyderabad's Rajiv Gandhi International Airport.- positive
 
·       Bank of Maharashtra – Company’s QIP price settelted at Rs28.50 worth Rs1000cr (CMP Rs30) - positive
 
·       Bajaj Finserv – Company is entering the highly competitive mutual funds business and has plans to make it big over the next few years, drawing in on the 'late mover advantage'. To begin with, the company is launching three schemes in the fixed income, liquid and money market products by the end of the month – positive
 
·       Torrent Power – Company signed a MoUs with the government of Maharashtra for development of pumped hydro storage projects. A statement by Torrent Power said that the projects would entail an investment of about ₹27,000 crore – long term positive
 
·       NHPC has signed a MoU with the Maharashtra state in western India for building 7,350MW of clean power projects.  The projects include solar, wind, hybrid and pumped hydro energy storage capacity - Positive
 
·       Aditya Birla to Invest $605M on Branded Jewelry Retail Foray - Aditya Birla Group is foraying into the branded jewelry retail business in India, the world’s second- biggest bullion market, with an investment of around Rs5000cr ($605mn).
 
·       NTPC Declares Second Part of Solar Power Project in Gujarat -  NTPC has declared the second part capacity of 10 MW of its 20 MW Gandhar Solar PV Project in Gujarat as commercially operational. The first portion capacity of 10 MW was declared commercially operational in August 2022. With this development, the standalone installed and commercial capacity of NTPC increased to 56,378 MW – positive
 
·       Man Industries – Company to consider stock split and bonus on June 9 board meeting
 
·       Government has earned Rs4185cr through the sale of a 3% stake in state-owned miner Coal India. With the divestment through offer-for-sale, the holding of the government in Coal India has come down to 63.13%.
 
·       Thermax -An arbitration panel ruled against the turbine and boiler maker in a matter related to breakdown of two gas turbo generators at one of its customers.  The award would have an estimated financial impact of about Rs 250 crore. – Stock decline 3% yesterday …We are long term positive on the stock
 
·       TCS  - Company launches data exchange and marketplace platform Dexam on Google Cloud. Dexam is a software-as-a-service product that enables data exchange across enterprises and ecosystems. - positive
 
·       Man Infra  (MICL)– Company announces luxury residential project In Ghatkopar, Mumbai.  The project has an estimated revenue potential of Rs 1,200 crore and it is expected to be completed in four years. – positive
 
·       L&T – Company wins significant category order worth Rs 1,000 to Rs2,500cr. The EPC contract entails construction of the tallest building in India with a height of 300.5 meters. - positive
 
·       IndiGo: IndiGo aims to carry 100 million passengers in the year ending March 2024, as the carrier adds more domestic and international routes, its CEO Pieter Elbers said. – positive
 
·       Hindustan Unilever: The fast-moving consumer goods player Hindustan Unilever (HUL), in an interview to a TV channel, said that it will soon cut prices of soaps, detergents, and shampoos over the next few weeks.
 
·       Indoco Remedies – Company a fully integrated, research based pharma company with a strong global presence has acquired 85% of equity stake of the US based FPP Holding Company, LLC ("FPP Holding") for USD 4 Million from Contract Pharmacal Corp. ("CPC"). – positive
 
·       NSE changes Nifty Bank F&O expiry day to Friday - The National Stock Exchange of India has decided to change the Bank Nifty Futures and Options (F&O) expiry day to Friday from Thursday. The new rule will come into effect from July 14.
 
·       Bharti Airtel Bags Mandate to Power Indian Government's - Bharti Airtel secured the cloud and content delivery network mandate from the Digital India for the Digital Infrastructure for Knowledge Sharing platform, India’s national platform for open education digital content. – positive.
 
·       Advait Infratech – Company has received an order for OPGW installation work on 20th May, 2023 worth Rs. 30.27 Crores. – positive
 
·       Valiant Organics- Company's subsidiary Valiant Laboratories Ltd files DRHP with SEBI for IPO – positive
 
·       G R Infraprojects: Company’s unit GR Hasapur Badadal Highway executed concession agreement to construct six lane Surat-Nashik-Ahmednagar-Solapur- Maharashtra/Karnataka border greenfield stretch on hybrid annuity mode at a bid project cost of Rs 872.17 crore.  – positive
 
·       Hardwyn India: Company allots 8.72 crore equity shares as fully paid bonus shares to existing shareholders of the company in 1:3 ratio.  - Positive
 
·       Ugro Capital: The Board has allotted 2,500 Non-Convertible Debentures with a face value of Rs 1 lakh each through private placement. - positive
 
 
 

Derivatives update

*Derivatives update*

Derivatives update for Wednesday, 7th June 2023.

India VIX was up by 2.15% from 11.12 to 11.38 levels. Volatility negated its lower highs formation on daily frame but overall lower levels is keeping the index in a smaller range.

Nifty *Put/Call Ratio* (OI) increased from 1 to 1.01 level. 

On option front, weekly maximum Call OI is at 18600 then 18800 strike while maximum Put OI is at 18500 then 18600 strike. Call writing is seen at 18750 then 18800 strike while Put writing is seen at 18550 then 18400 strike.

*Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 18300 to 18800 zones while an immediate trading range in between 18450 to 18700 zones.*

For weekly Bank Nifty, Maximum Put OI is at 44000 then 42000 strike and maximum Call OI is placed at 44200 then 45500 strike. We have seen Call writing 45500 with significant unwinding at 44000 and Put writing is witnessed at 44100 strike. 

Bank Nifty Put Call Ratio increased from 0.87 to 0.97. Implied volatility fell from 12.8 to 12.6 levels.

Bank Nifty (CMP 44164.55)
Data setup for Bank Nifty suggests a trading range in between *43750/44000 to 44500/44750 zones.*

Looking ahead at the FII’s derivatives activity, there was long liquidation in index futures, position unwinding in index options and short built up in stock futures.

In the cash market, FIIs were net buyers to the tune of 386 crores while DII’s were net sellers worth 489 crores. FIIs Index Long Short Ratio decreased to 46.19%.

Derivatives data and price set up suggests, Nifty has to continue to hold above 18580 zones to witness an up move towards 18666 and 18750 zones while on the downside support exists at 18480 and 18442 zones.

Bank Nifty has to continue to hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44500 then 44750 zones while on the downside support exists at 44000 and 43750 zones.

Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up

*Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up*

◆ Nifty index opened positive but failed to hold above 18620 zones and drifted lower for the first half of the session to touch 18530 zones. It recovered in the next half of the session and managed to close near 18600 with gains of around 5 points. It moved in a rather staggered way for most part of the day followed by a swift recovery in the last hour. It formed a Doji sort of candle on daily scale with longer lower shadow indicating support based buying on declines

◆ Now it has to continue to hold above 18580 zones to witness an up move towards 18666 and 18750 zones while on the downside support exists at 18480 and 18442 zones

◆ India VIX was up by 2.15% from 11.12 to 11.38 levels. Volatility negated its lower highs formation on daily frame but overall lower levels is keeping the index in a smaller range

◆ On option front, weekly maximum Call OI is at 18600 then 18800 strike while maximum Put OI is at 18500 then 18600 strike. Call writing is seen at 18750 then 18800 strike while Put writing is seen at 18550 then 18400 strike. Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 18300 to 18800 zones while an immediate trading range in between 18450 to 18700 zones

◆ Bank Nifty opened on a flattish note but failed to hold above 44200 and gradually drifted towards 44000 zones in the first half of the session. However some recovery seen from lower levels in the last hour of the session and it formed a Doji sort of candle on daily scale as buying interest was seen at lower zones. Overall it remained consolidative in narrow range of 200 points as selective private banks continue to hold the Index while few public banks remained lacklustre

◆ Now it has to continue to hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44500 then 44750 zones while on the downside support exists at 44000 and 43750 zones

◆ Bullish setup in Ambujacem, Oberoirlty, HAL, Ultracemco, ACC, Glenmark, TVS Motor, IDFC, BEL, Tatacomm, Axis Bank, Tatamotors, Maruti, Cumminsind, Grasim, M&M, Bajfinance and Deepakntr 

◆ Bearish setup in IEX, Mphasis, Coforge, Voltas, LTTS, OFSS, INFY, Techm, TCS, ONGC and Hcltech

Tuesday, June 6, 2023

IKIO LIGHTING LIMITED IPO

*IKIO LIGHTING LIMITED IPO*

*Open : 06-JUNE-2023*
*Open : 08-JUNE-2023*

*QIB : 50%*
*NII : 15%*
*Retail : 35%*

*Price : ₹270 - ₹285*
*Market Lot : 52 Shares*

*Retail*
*Shares : 52*
*App Amt : ₹14,820*
*Retail Form : 143235*

*Small HNI (2-10 Lakh)*
*Shares : 728*
*App Amt : ₹207,480*
*Forms : 1462*

*Big HNI (10+ Lakh)*
*Shares : 3536*
*App Amt : ₹10,07,760*
*Forms : 2923*

*Basis of Allotment *JUNE 13, 2023*
*Initiation of Refunds JUNE 14, 2023*
*Credit of Shares to Demat JUNE 15, 2023*
*IPO Listing Date JUNE 16, 2023*

*MUST APPLY☝🏻*

BIG BREAKING NEWS

BIG BREAKING NEWS

CHINA ANNOUNCES STIMULUS PACKAGE FOR ECONOMY 

CHINA ASKS BIGGEST BANKS TO CUT DEPOSIT RATES TO BOOST THE ECONOMY.

NSE, BSE Key Circuit Filter Revisions

NSE, BSE Key Circuit Filter Revisions

- From 5% to 20%
Adani Power 
Kamdhenu 
RVNL

- From 5% to 10%
Adani Transmission

BTST : BUY

BTST : BUY TVS MOTOR , CUMMINS , HAL , ULTRATECH, MARUTI, M&M, TATA MOTOR, AXIS BANK , SYNGENE

BUY BANK NIFTY 44000 CE

BUY BANK NIFTY 44000 CE @ 225-230, SL 200, TGT 260-280-300 ++

From Advisory Desk 6th June 2023

From Advisory Desk 6th June 2023
 
Market Outlook: US stocks ended slightly lower as the data from S&P and ISM on services activity was a bit weaker than expected. Following the news, Bond yields reacted and reversed the earlier gains. Asian markets have started with a mixed performance, while the SGX Nifty indicates a flat opening. On the domestic front, our markets started the week on a positive note yesterday, closing higher by 0.35%. After the recent consolidation breakout, the Nifty is moving within a range of 18450-18670 levels from the past few sessions. However, the positive trend remains intact and expect stock specific action to continue. The RBI MPC meeting is set to begin today, with the outcome announcement scheduled for 8th June.
 
Actionable: Buy M&M, L&T.
 
Global market:

DOW:  - 199
SGX NIFTY:   - 10   (prev. close 18725)
NIFTY 50 : 18593
Sensex : 62787
 
Institution:
FII:                -   701     Cr
DII:               +  1196   Cr

NSE:
Advances:  2128  / Declines:  1543

Currency:
Dollar: $ 82.67
Dollar Index: 103.99
 
Commodity:
Gold: $ 1975  per ounce
Crude: $ 76.15  per barrel
 
Bonds:
10 year US bond rate: 3.69
10 year Indian Bond rate: 7.00

Derivative:
PCR: 0.95
VIX:  11.13

Updates:

SBI Cards: SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd on Monday announced that its board of directors has approved the raising of funds by way of issuance of Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) to ₹3,000 crore in one or more tranches, on a private placement basis.
 
Adani Group | The group on Monday said it has repaid loans totalling $2.65 billion that were taken by pledging shares in the conglomerate's listed firms and another $700 million in loans taken for the acquisition of Ambuja Cement.

Godrej Consumer Product - Company announced the appointment of Aasif Malbari as its Chief Financial Officer, with effect from August 10, 2023. Aasif Malbari is currently the CFO of Tata Passenger Electric Mobility and Director of Tata Motors Passenger.
 
Sugar Sector - Sugar prices tumbled to 6-week lows yesterday. The arrival of monsoon rains in India and ramped-up sugar production in Brazil are weighing on sugar prices.

Securities in ban: IBULHSGFIN, INDIACEM, MANAPPURAM FINANCE.
 
Derivative View: On option front, weekly maximum Call OI is at 18600 then 18700 strike while Maximum Put OI is at 18500 then 18600 strike. Option data suggests an immediate trading range in between 18400 to 18700 zones.

Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up

*Pre-Market Derivatives and Technical Set-up*

◆ Nifty index opened gap up by around 80 points but moved in a consolidative manner throughout the day. It respected support of 18580 zones but failed to move above 18640 zones and remained in a narrow range of 50 points. It formed a small bodied candle on daily scale and negated its lower highs formation of the last three sessions to close with gains of around 60 points

◆ Now it has to hold support of 18580 zones to witness an up move towards 18750 and 18888 zones while on the downside support exists at 18480 and 18442 zones

◆ India VIX was up by 0.16% from 11.12 to 11.13 levels. Volatility is marginally up but has been overall cooling off and thus in turn creating swings within a smaller range in the indices

◆ On option front, weekly maximum Call OI is at 18600 then 18700 strike while maximum Put OI is at 18500 then 18600 strike. Call writing is seen at 18700 then 18650 strike while Put writing is seen at 18500 then 18400 strike. Option data suggests a broader trading range in between 18300 to 18800 zones while an immediate trading range in between 18400 to 18700 zones

◆ Bank Nifty opened on a positive note near 44100 zones but remained consolidative in a narrow range of 100 points between 44150 to 44250 zones for most part of the trading session. It formed a Doji candle on daily scale as some profit booking was seen from higher zones in the last hour of the session and it closed at it opening zones. However it negated the formation of lower highs after four sessions to close with gains of around 160 points. It is holding well above its 20DEMA on daily scale and buy on dips stance likely to continue

◆ Now it has to continue to hold above 44044 for an up move towards 44250 then 44500 zones while on the downside support exists at 43750 and 43500 zones

◆ Bullish setup in HAL, M&M, BHEL, ICICI Pru, Axis Bank, BEL, Tatamotors, Grasim, Tatapower, LT, Deepakntr, Reliance, Maruti, Tatasteel, Indusind Bank, Cumminsind, SRF, Indigo and Glenmark

◆ Bearish setup in AU Bank, Manappuram, VEDL, MFSL, BPCL, MGL, TCS and Kotak Bank

BUY HBL POWER

BUY HBL POWER @ 125-27, SL 120, TGT 134, 140, 145+

BUY FIN NIFTY

BUY FIN NIFTY 19500 PUT @ 60-65, SSSL 40 TGT 74, 88, 105, 136, 182+

Securities in Ban For Trade Date 06-JUN-2023

*Securities in Ban For Trade Date 06-JUN-2023:*  
1 IBULHSGFIN
2 INDIACEM
3 MANAPPURAM