Favourable domestic economy data, impressive July series F&O rollover and persistent FIIs buying interest may open domestic market on a positive note. SGX Nifty is up over half percent or 100 points after previous day closed on a record high. In the US Mraket, better than expected US Q1 GDP data (up 2% while expectation 1.4%) and most of the US Banks cleared stress test (means well capitalized) lifted US market gained nearly 1%. However, US Dollar Index spiked to 1-month high to above 103 and rising US Bond yield after the US Labor Department data showed Thursday that US jobless claims fell last week by the most since 2021. Stronger-than-expected data on the US economy kept Wall Street on alert for further interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. On the other hand, US Fed chairman Powell on Wednesday said policymakers could potentially raise interest rates in July and September. Back home, expects rally to continue due to improving domestic macroeconomic conditions, better corporate earnings and fall in monsoon deficiency will boosted the market sentiment. Traders focus on auto stocks ahead of monthly sales data to be announce next week. Banking stocks may positive after the RBI says thet the bad-debt ratios fall to decade low at Indian Banks.
· US Market – U.S. stocks ended mixed on Thursday as fresh economic data indicated that U.S. growth remains resilient and the country's largest lenders passed the Federal Reserve's annual stress test. Dow Jones gained over half percent while Nasdaq Composite ended flat. However, Dow Jones ended flat after adjustment of last couple of days (Indian equity was shut on Thursday).
· Global market summary – US Q1 GDP reported better than expected at 2% vs 1.3% (previous quarter) while expectation was 2%. Gold fell to 3 months low. US 2-Year and 10-Year Bond surged to nearly 1-month high. US Dollar Index surged to 1-month high to above 103.
· Asian Market – Asian stocks open on a mixed bag to the last day of the quarter following a choppy session for US equities as Treasury yields soared on bets on further tightening by the Federal Reserve. Japan, Australia Index declined half percent each while Taiwan and South Korea Index marginally gain. Australian and New Zealand sovereign bond yields jumped about nine basis points in early trading, as the upward pressure on rates flowed through into Asia. Economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to hike rates at its meeting next week
· European Market – European stocks ended mixed bag with banks outperforming after Wall Street peers passed the Federal Reserve’s annual stress test. UK Index slipped 0.4% while France Index advance 0.4%. European equities have been stuck in a range recently, with the rally capped by worries about an economic slowdown as central banks drive home the message that rates will stay higher for longer.
· Oil – Crude oil futures prices gained on Thursday upon continuous support from bullish U.S. oil inventory data last week. Brent Crude is hovering at $74/bbl.
· Gold – Gold is trading flat to $1908/ounce after intra-day fell to below $1900/ounce following US unemployment data that raised expectations for more tightening by the Federal Reserve
· Previous Day market Update – Bulls was back in the Dalal Street ring after a long time. Equity market scaled record high levels as across the major Index – Nifty, Bank Nifty, Fin-Nifty and Sensex surged to record high amid strong domestic cues were supported by gains in global markets. The benchmark index Nifty rose nearly a percent to hit its fresh all-time high level of above 19,000, while the Sensex also jumped to a record level, crossing 64,000-mark. Bank Nifty and Fin-Nifty soared to record above 44500 level and 19950 level respectively. Nifty took nearly seven months for the Nifty to cross its earlier record level of 18,887 hit on December 1 last year. Strong buying from foreign institutional investors (FII), improving domestic macroeconomic conditions, better corporate earnings and fall in monsoon deficiency boosted the market sentiment. Auto, metal, FMCG, Pharma and IT stocks were major gainers today. Nifty soared 154 points 0r 0.8% to close 18972 while touched intra-day high of 19011. Bank Nifty advance 206 points or 0.5% to close at 44327 while touched intra-day high of 44508. FIIs were net buyers Rs12350cr (Block deal on Adani Group) while DIIs were net sellers Rs1021cr previous day.
· Nifty Technical Levels – Nifty formed a Bullish candle on daily scale and given a consolidation breakout of last ten trading sessions. It has been forming higher highs on weekly scale from last fourteen weeks and supports are gradually shifting higher. Now it has to continue to hold above 18888 zones to extend the move towards 19200 and 19250 zones while on the downside support exists at 18888 and 18777 zones.
· Bank Nifty Technical Levels – Bank Nifty overall trend is strong with buy on dips stance. Now it has to hold above 44250 zones for an up move towards 44500 then new life high of 44750 zones while on the downside support is seen at 44250 then 44044 levels Actionable BUY – IndiGo, Indian Hotel, SBI, Bajaj Finance,
· Brokers Radar – CLSA TGT on Tata Motor at 700, 360 One TGT by Citi at 600, Morgan Stanley TGT on MCX at 1125, JEF MAN 1830, MCX TGT . Man Jef 1830, L&T TGT by JP Morgan at 2900. TATA Motor TGT by Macquarie at 624 and Nomura TGT at 610. Bajaj Auto TGT by Macquarie at 4541 and Nomura TGT at 5223.
· Events – Wipro Buy-back final day, Fiscal Deficit and Eight Infrastructure Industries data, Aadhar PAN card link final day today.
· Corporate Action - Aegis Logistic Rs1.20, Alufluoride Rs2, Bajaj Auto Rs140, Bajaj Holding Rs13, Bajaj Finance Rs30, Bank of Baroda Rs5.50, Ddev Plastiks Industries Bonus 1:10, Glaxo Pharma Rs32, Maharashtra Scooter Rs60, Nippon Life Rs7.50 and Sona BLW Rs1.53
· Global Data – Personal Income and Personal Spending (US). Quarterly GDP, Private Consumption and Export & Import (UK). Retail Sales, Unemployment Change and Exports & Import (Germany). CPI, Consumer Spending and PPI (Germany). – Manufacturing PMI and Non-Manufacturing PMI (China).
· Market Summary – Tata Communications to Acquire US-based Kaleyra for About $100, Sheela Foam to acquire rival Kurlon in Rs 3,250 cr deal: Report, Tejas Mk 2 to be ready for first flight by 2025 after HAL-GE Aerospace deal, Bandhan Bank triples its branch presence in less than 8 years, US-India Plan to Make Artillery Guns, Armored Vehicles, Govt approves PM-PRANAM to boost balanced use of fertilisers; Rs 3.68 lakh cr subsidy on urea till Mar 2025, Bad-Debt Ratios Fall to Decade Low at Indian Banks, RBI Says, MCX extends support services contract with 63 Moons for another six months at ₹125 crore per quarter, ICICI Securities to be 100% subsidiary of ICICI Bank upon delisting
· Tata Communications – Company agreed to acquire US-based communications services provider Kaleyra for about $100 million. The acquisition will help Tata Communications expand its communications platform-as-a-service business globally.
· Multi Commodity Exchange - Company has extended the support services being rendered by its existing software vendor, 63 Moons Technologies Ltd. for six months beginning from July 1, 2023. In a regulatory filing, MCX informed that the consideration for the same would be ₹125 crore per quarter. – Avoid
· ICICI Securities - Company will delist and become a wholly-owned subsidiary of parent ICICI Bank. The company stated that the board of directors had approved the delisting plans and agreed on a share swap ratio. The public shareholders of ICICI Securities would be allotted 67 shares of ICICI Bank for 100 shares each of the brokerage firm
· Focus on Banking stocks - Soured-debt ratios at Indian banks narrowed to the lowest in 10 years as the nation’s financial system remained resilient despite global headwinds, according to the Reserve Bank of India. The bad-loan ratio was at 3.9% of the total loans at the end of March 2023 compared to 5.9% in the previous year. The central bank expects the ratio to fall further to
· 3.6% by March 2024. – expects positive for SBI, Bank of Baroda, Union Bank, Canara Bank, Indusind Bank, RBL Bank
· Focus on Fertilizer stocks – Government approved a new scheme PM-PRANAM to incentivise states to promote alternative fertilisers and reduce the use of chemical fertilisers and also decided to continue the current urea subsidy scheme for three years ending March 2025, with an outlay of Rs 3.68 lakh crore.- Expects positive for Chambel Fertilizer, Coromandel, GNFC, GSFC, RCF, FACT.
· IPO Listing Sebi has approved a proposal to reduce the time period for listing shares for initial public offerings (IPOs) from 6 days to 3 days. The new timeline will be implemented in two phases, with voluntary compliance starting from September 2023 and mandatory compliance from December 2023.
· SBI Life – Company re-appoint Sharma as MD and CEO - Positive
· Focus on defence stock - The US and India plan to jointly manufacture artillery guns and armored personnel carriers, said the US Ambassador to India Eric Garcetti in New Delhi on Wednesday.- expects positive for BEL, Bharat Dynamic, Bharat Forge.
· Sheela Foam to acquire rival Kurlon in Rs 3,250 cr deal: Report - Sheela Foam will fully acquire rival Kurlon Enterprise Ltd, buying 100 percent of the company in two tranches for a cash consideration of Rs 3,250 crore. Acquiring Kurlon Enterprise, maker of the Kurl-on brand of mattresses, will help Sheela Foam, known for the Sleepwell brand, nearly double its market share.- positive
· Bharat Petroleum: The company’s board approved raising up to Rs 18,000 crore via rights issue. - positive
· PowerGrid: The company approved an aggregate investment of Rs 388.94 crore. It will invest in establishment of Telecom network for NTAMC at an estimated cost of Rs 164.38 crore, Western Region expansion scheme at an estimated cost of Rs 115.09 crore – positive
· HDFC: The company acquired 612 equity shares of Xanadu Realty, representing 5.46% of its paid-up equity share capital upon conversion of 938 compulsorily convertible debentures held by it in Xanadu – positive
· Canara Bank: The bank approved Rs 7,500 crore by way of debt instruments. – positive
· Tata Chemicals: Life Insurance Corporation increased stake from 5.06% to 7.12%.- positive
· IPO Update - PKH IPO open today with Price band between 140-148. Idea forging IPO subscribed over 50 time
· ITC – Company has completed the acquisition of an additional 857 compulsorily convertible preference shares of Rs10 each of personal care products brand Mother Sparsh Baby Care for Rs11.54cr. With this, the company’s shareholding in Mother Sparsh has increased to 26.50% from 22% - Positive
· TVS Motor Ties Up with Zomato for Last-Mile Deliveries – Company partnered with food ordering platform Zomato for last-mile deliveries using electric vehicles. TVS Motors will deploy 10,000 scooters to fulfill deliveries for Zomato and ensure the delivery partners will have access to charging stations – positive
· Hariom Pipe – Company has completed installation and commenced production from two new MS Pipe Mills at plant located at Mahabubnagar District. With this, the total installed capacity of MS Pipes has gone up to 1,32,000 MTPA from the current 84000 MTPA – positive
· Nykaa - FSN E-Commerce Ventures has approved the following investment proposals: - To make further investment up to Rs20cr in FSN International Pvt a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company, on rights basis; and to make further investment up to USD 2mn by FSN International in one of its overseas subsidiaries viz., Nessa International – Long term positive
· Bandhan Bank – Company has achieved a milestone of tripling its branch presence in less than 8 years of its operations. The Bank now has a total of more than 1,500 bank branches – positive
· Kamdhenu Ventures – company’s Board recommends Bonus Issue in the ratio of 1:1 – positive
· BEML – Company wins 385cr order for supply of high mobility vehicle – positive
· Promoter entities raise $1 bn by selling shares in Adani Green Energy, AEL - The promoter entities of Adani group sold part of their stake in Adani Green Energy and flagship Adani Enterprises to raise $1bn The proceeds will be used by the promoters to pre-pay debt, banking sources said. About 4.8cr shares, or 3 per cent of total equity of Adani Green changed hands and 1.6 per cent stake or 18 million shares in AEL was sold via block deals to several investors. Total shares worth Rs 8,542 crore were sold.
· Focus on Sugar stocks – Sugar cane price hike from Rs305 to 415/100kg – expects positive for Balrampor Chini,, Dhampur Sugar
· Tejas Mk 2 to be ready for first flight by 2025 after HAL-GE Aerospace deal - Tejas Mk 2 light combat aircraft (LCA), which has faced delays, is expected to make its first flight in 2025 with an American engine. GE Aerospace has signed a deal with Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) to produce fighter jet engines.
· Kamdhenu Ventures – Company has, considered, approved and recommended a Bonus Issue in the ratio of 1:1 – positive
· IDFC FIRST Bank - Company has announced raising Rs. 1,500 crore of Tier-2 bonds in domestic Indian Bond markets.
· Star Housing – Company announced the appointment of Kalpesh Dave as the Chief Executive Officer and Anoop Saxena as the Chief Operating Officer
· Inflame Appliances – Company has bagged an order for 3650 Chimneys from LIVPURE PRIVATE LIMITED, Haryana amounting to Rs. 1.95 crores, and thereby expanding its customer base and adding one more milestone to its expansion. – positive
· Gland Pharma - The US FDA has conducted Pre-Approval Inspection (PAI) for Seven (7) Products and Good Manufacturing Practice (GMP) Inspection at the Company's Pashamylaram Facility at Hyderabad between 15th June 2023 and 27th June 2023. The inspection was concluded with ONE (1) 483 Observation. – Avoid
· Swan Energy – Company to raise Rs. 690 crore through preferential issue at Rs300 a share (CMP 256) – Positive
· Ramco Cements – Company have commissioned Line III at its Ramasamy Raja Nagar of 3,000 TPD capacity of clinkerisation. This is the first integrated cement line, commissioned in the last 15 years in the South of Tamil Nadu. – positive
· Pearl Global – One of the largest garment exporters has announced its strategic expansion into Guatemala, company has acquired a 55% stake in Pearl GT Holdco Ltd for a consideration of USD 550,000. – positive
· Shalby Ltd – Company has signed an agreement with Divine Super Specialty Hospital Pvt. Ltd., a leading hospital in Ranchi having capacity of 60 beds, to establish a Franchise‐Owned Shalby‐Managed (FOSM) hospital in the region. – positive
· PNC Infratech – Company signing of a concession road agreement projects between Ministry of Road Transport & Highways Govt of India for implementation of the Hybrid Annuity Mode (HAM) road Project in Uttar Pradesh – positive
· ICICI Lombard and ICICI Prudential Life – Both companies have jointly launched an insurance solution, 'iShield', which will provide customers with both health and life insurance.- positive
· South Indian Bank – Company signed an MOU with Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd (Automobile division) for providing the latter's dealers with financing solutions.- Positive
· ZIM Laboratories – Company has announced strategic investments in Australia and the MENA region to expand its presence in Developed and Pharmerging markets. – positive
· Zydus Lifesciences – Company has received tentative approval from the USFDA for Palbociclib Tablets - positive
· Focus on Real Estate stocks - Home prices up 14.7% in June quarter in top cities: ET Report - Expects positive for real estate stocks after the media report that the robust demand has helped residential property prices across India's top 13 cities witness 14.7% growth from a year ago and 2.2% rise sequentially during the quarter ended June 30, showed a Magicbricks PropIndex report. Expects positive DLF, Oberoi Realty, Godrej Properties, Prestige Estate and Lodha
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